Rapid vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Rapid 1-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
Before kick-off the model made it 15% Rapid, 30% draw, 55% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — fair odds of 6.67, 3.33 and 1.82. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at 55% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rapid vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rapid | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 27 |
| 12 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rapid vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 6 December 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2–0 RapidLiga I
- 5 August 2024Rapid 2–2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 10 May 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 3–2 RapidLiga I
- 15 April 2024Rapid 0–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 10 November 2023Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–0 RapidLiga I
Leading scorers: Rapid and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Rapid
GoalsAssists
- A. Dobre50
- F. Stojilković41
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rapid beat Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at 55% and given a win for Rapid 15%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goal: A. Pascanu 88' for Rapid. Sent off: A. Dobrosavlevici (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe) 53'. On expected goals it finished 2.25–0.14.