Rapid vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Rapid 1-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
Before kick-off the model made it 15% Rapid, 30% draw, 55% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — fair odds of 6.67, 3.33 and 1.82. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at 55% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rapid vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rapid | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rapid vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 20 July 2026Rapid 1–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 6 December 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2–0 RapidLiga I
- 5 August 2024Rapid 2–2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 10 May 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 3–2 RapidLiga I
- 15 April 2024Rapid 0–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 10 November 2023Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–0 RapidLiga I
Leading scorers: Rapid and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Rapid
- A. Dobre3 goals
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.