21 July 2026

FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Full time1 – 1

Final score: FC Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb.

Before kick-off the model made it 1% FC Thun, 2% draw, 97% Dinamo Zagreb — fair odds of 100.00, 50.00 and 1.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-4.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Dinamo Zagreb v FC Thun, 28 Jul →

Dinamo Zagreb went through 4–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dinamo Zagreb at 97% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
Miha Zajc
⚽B. Labeauassist: F. Fehr
20'
🔁N. Maierout: N. Zoukit
56'
🔁F. Dursunout: M. Gutbub
56'
62'
Mateo Lisica
Marco Bürki
66'
66'
🔁M. Lisicaout: A. Hoxha
Justin Roth
70'
🔁N. Reichmuthout: N. Burgy
79'
🔁B. Labeauout: C. Ibayi
79'
80'
🔁G. Vidovicout: L. Kacavenda
80'
🔁M. Orsicout: F. Topic
86'
⚽M. Zajcassist: F. Topic
Fabio Fehr
90+1'
🔁M. Heuleout: L. Dahler
90'

Match stats — FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb

43%Possession57%
16Shots20
3On target6
9Corners5

Line-ups

FC Thun 4-4-2
  • 1N. SteffenG
  • 47F. FehrD
  • 19J. BamertD
  • 23M. BurkiD
  • 27M. HeuleD
  • 70N. ReichmuthM
  • 16J. RothM
  • 78V. MatoshiM
  • 30N. MaierM
  • 9F. DursunF
  • 96B. LabeauF
Substitutes
  • 25T. SpycherG
  • 5N. BurgyD
  • 18C. IbayiF
  • 13N. ZoukitM
  • 21D. DerbaciM
  • 80S. LengenF
  • 54L. PassavantD
  • 11L. StewartF
  • 17A. BalarubanD
Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian
Dinamo Zagreb 4-2-3-1
  • 44I. FilipovicG
  • 25M. ValincicD
  • 36S. DominguezD
  • 26S. McKennaD
  • 3B. GodaD
  • 27J. MisicM
  • 8M. ZajcM
  • 21M. LisicaM
  • 10G. VidovicM
  • 99M. OrsicM
  • 9D. BeljoF
Substitutes
  • 1D. ZagoracG
  • 33I. NevisticG
  • 11A. HoxhaF
  • 71M. BakrarF
  • 41S. SuntaM
  • 6S. RadeljicD
  • 15N. GalesicD
  • 13P. TabinasD
  • 80L. KacavendaM
Coach: Mario Kovacevic

The result against the call

FC Thun and Dinamo Zagreb drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Dinamo Zagreb at 97% and given a draw 2%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 50 matches like this one. The goals: B. Labeau 20' for FC Thun, M. Zajc 86' for Dinamo Zagreb.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.