21 July 2026

Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Full time2 – 0

Final score: Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Shamrock Rovers.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Ararat-Armenia, 25% draw, 44% Shamrock Rovers — fair odds of 3.23, 4.00 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Shamrock Rovers at 44% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

40'
L. Grace
⚽Sandro Lima
51'
🔁B. Pereiraout: M. Carlier
60'
🔁Z. Shaghoyanout: Franca Carlos
65'
🔁A. Teraout: Z. Banjaqui
65'
67'
🔁L. Graceout: L. O'Regan
67'
🔁A. Brennanout: J. Mulraney
67'
🔁A. Greeneout: J. Afolabi
🔁K. Hovhannisyanout: Luis Felipe
75'
🔁A. Serobyanout: P. Ayongo
76'
⚽Z. Banjaquiassist: Franca Carlos
80'
81'
M. Healy
89'
J. Afolabi
Junior Julio
89'
90+1'
🔁J. Byrneout: N. Razi
Z. Banjaqui
90+5'

Line-ups

Ararat-Armenia 4-3-3
  • 98João BravimG
  • 13Kamo HovhannisyanD
  • 43Bruno WilsonD
  • 3Junior JulioD
  • 14Bruno PereiraD
  • 20Alwyn TeraM
  • 19Karen MuradyanM
  • 2Hugo OliveiraD
  • 77Artur SerobyanM
  • 91Sandro LimaF
  • 7Zhirayr ShaghoyanM
Substitutes
  • 17Maxence CarlierM
  • 11Zidane BanjaquiM
  • 95Carlos FrançaM
  • 1Arman NersesyanG
  • 5Luís FelipeD
  • 47Alexandros MalisD
  • 6Michel AyvazyanM
  • 9Arayik EloyanF
  • 25Alioune NdourF
Coach: Tulipa
Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2
  • 1Ed McGintyG
  • 5Lee GraceD
  • 4PicoD
  • 27Cory O'SullivanD
  • 22Tunmise SobowaleD
  • 7Dylan WattsM
  • 8Matthew HealyM
  • 29Jack ByrneM
  • 19Adam BrennanM
  • 9Aaron GreeneF
  • 10Graham BurkeF
Substitutes
  • 17Luke O'ReganD
  • 11Jake MulraneyM
  • 18Jonathan AfolabiF
  • 41Alex NoonanG
  • 2Adam MatthewsD
  • 3Enda StevensD
  • 33Cian BarrettD
  • 26John O'SullivanM
  • 28Naj RaziM
Coach: Stephen Bradley

Ararat-Armenia and Shamrock Rovers in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
2Shamrock RoversPremier Division3016864629+1756

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Ararat-Armenia has not started the league season yet. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · Premier Division

Head-to-head: Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers

  • 21 July 2026Ararat-Armenia 2–0 Shamrock RoversUEFA Champions League

Leading scorers: Ararat-Armenia and Shamrock Rovers

Ararat-Armenia

No leading scorers listed yet.

Shamrock Rovers

  • G. Burke7 goals1 assists
  • M. Noonan6 goals
  • J. McGovern5 goals5 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.