Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Shamrock Rovers.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Ararat-Armenia, 25% draw, 44% Shamrock Rovers — fair odds of 3.23, 4.00 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Shamrock Rovers v Ararat-Armenia, 28 Jul →
Ararat-Armenia went through 3–2 on aggregate.
All Champions League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Shamrock Rovers at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 98João BravimG
- 13Kamo HovhannisyanD
- 43Bruno WilsonD
- 3Junior JulioD
- 14Bruno PereiraD
- 20Alwyn TeraM
- 19Karen MuradyanM
- 2Hugo OliveiraD
- 77Artur SerobyanM
- 91Sandro LimaF
- 7Zhirayr ShaghoyanM
- 17Maxence CarlierM
- 11Zidane BanjaquiM
- 95Carlos FrançaM
- 1Arman NersesyanG
- 5Luís FelipeD
- 47Alexandros MalisD
- 6Michel AyvazyanM
- 9Arayik EloyanF
- 25Alioune NdourF
- 1Ed McGintyG
- 5Lee GraceD
- 4PicoD
- 27Cory O'SullivanD
- 22Tunmise SobowaleD
- 7Dylan WattsM
- 8Matthew HealyM
- 29Jack ByrneM
- 19Adam BrennanM
- 9Aaron GreeneF
- 10Graham BurkeF
- 17Luke O'ReganD
- 11Jake MulraneyM
- 18Jonathan AfolabiF
- 41Alex NoonanG
- 2Adam MatthewsD
- 3Enda StevensD
- 33Cian BarrettD
- 26John O'SullivanM
- 28Naj RaziM
Ararat-Armenia and Shamrock Rovers in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | UEFA Europa League | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 58 | 35 | +23 | 68 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · Premier Division
Leading scorers: Ararat-Armenia and Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
No player in UEFA Europa League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Shamrock Rovers
GoalsAssists
- J. McGovern107
- G. Burke84
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ararat-Armenia beat Shamrock Rovers 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Shamrock Rovers at 44% and given a win for Ararat-Armenia 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Sandro Lima 51' for Ararat-Armenia, Z. Banjaqui 80' for Ararat-Armenia.