21 July 2026

Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Full time0 – 4

Final score: Larne 0-4 FK Crvena Zvezda.

Before kick-off the model made it 0% Larne, 6% draw, 94% FK Crvena Zvezda — fair odds of Infinity, 16.67 and 1.06. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: FK Crvena Zvezda v Larne, 29 Jul →

FK Crvena Zvezda went through 9–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FK Crvena Zvezda at 94% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
Young-woo Seol
26'
⚽Bruno Duarte (pen)
Sean Graham
28'
Matthew Lusty
34'
🔁M. Lustyout: K. O'Hara
46'
46'
🔁L. Loizouout: O. Bukari
55'
⚽V. Kostovassist: O. Bukari
🔁D. Sloanout: J. Simpson
63'
67'
⚽Bruno Duarteassist: M. Abu Fani
73'
🔁Bruno Duarteout: J. Enem
73'
🔁M. Ivanicout: A. Katai
73'
🔁V. Kostovout: M. Cham
🔁R. Dohertyout: L. Wallace
76'
🔁J. McEneffout: P. O'Neill
76'
81'
🔁M. Abu Faniout: M. Arnautovic
85'
⚽M. Chamassist: A. Katai

Line-ups

Larne 4-3-3
  • 1R. FergusonG
  • 23T. CosgroveD
  • 26D. BentM
  • 3M. RidleyD
  • 4A. DonnellyD
  • 15R. DohertyM
  • 6C. GallagherM
  • 11S. GrahamD
  • 22J. McEneffM
  • 30M. LustyF
  • 25D. SloanM
Substitutes
  • 31D. CollettG
  • 36D. GrahamG
  • 2L. WallaceD
  • 7C. McKendryM
  • 9P. O'NeillF
  • 14B. MageeM
  • 19K. O'Hara
  • 45M. GibsonF
  • 47J. SimpsonM
Coach: Gary Haveron
FK Crvena Zvezda 4-3-2-1
  • 1MatheusG
  • 66Seol Young-WooD
  • 25S. ErakovicD
  • 13M. VeljkovicD
  • 23N. TiknizyanD
  • 75L. LoizouM
  • 21T. ElsnikM
  • 15M. Abu FaniM
  • 22V. KostovM
  • 4M. IvanicM
  • 17Bruno DuarteF
Substitutes
  • 50S. Radanovic
  • 77I. GutesaG
  • 7M. ArnautovicF
  • 8K. BalovM
  • 9J. EnemF
  • 10A. KataiM
  • 14O. BukariM
  • 24N. StankovicD
  • 27M. StrikaD
Coach: Dejan Stankovic

The result against the call

FK Crvena Zvezda won 4–0 at Larne. The model had made a win for FK Crvena Zvezda its most likely outcome, at 94%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Bruno Duarte (penalty) 26' for FK Crvena Zvezda, V. Kostov 55' for FK Crvena Zvezda, Bruno Duarte 67' for FK Crvena Zvezda, M. Cham 85' for FK Crvena Zvezda.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.