21 July 2026

Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Full time0 – 4

Final score: Larne 0-4 FK Crvena Zvezda.

Before kick-off the model made it 0% Larne, 6% draw, 94% FK Crvena Zvezda — fair odds of Infinity, 16.67 and 1.06. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FK Crvena Zvezda at 94% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
Young-woo Seol
26'
⚽Bruno Duarte (pen)
Sean Graham
28'
Matthew Lusty
34'
🔁M. Lustyout: K. O'Hara
46'
46'
🔁L. Loizouout: O. Bukari
55'
⚽V. Kostovassist: O. Bukari
🔁D. Sloanout: J. Simpson
63'
67'
⚽Bruno Duarteassist: M. Abu Fani
73'
🔁Bruno Duarteout: J. Enem
73'
🔁M. Ivanicout: A. Katai
73'
🔁V. Kostovout: M. Cham
🔁R. Dohertyout: L. Wallace
76'
🔁J. McEneffout: P. O'Neill
76'
81'
🔁M. Abu Faniout: M. Arnautovic
85'
⚽M. Chamassist: A. Katai

Line-ups

Larne 4-3-3
  • 1R. FergusonG
  • 23T. CosgroveD
  • 26D. BentM
  • 3M. RidleyD
  • 4A. DonnellyD
  • 15R. DohertyM
  • 6C. GallagherM
  • 11S. GrahamD
  • 22J. McEneffM
  • 30M. LustyF
  • 25D. SloanM
Substitutes
  • 31D. CollettG
  • 36D. GrahamG
  • 2L. WallaceD
  • 7C. McKendryM
  • 9P. O'NeillF
  • 14B. MageeM
  • 19K. O'Hara
  • 45M. GibsonF
  • 47J. SimpsonM
Coach: Gary Haveron
FK Crvena Zvezda 4-3-2-1
  • 1MatheusG
  • 66Seol Young-WooD
  • 25S. ErakovicD
  • 13M. VeljkovicD
  • 23N. TiknizyanD
  • 75L. LoizouM
  • 21T. ElsnikM
  • 15M. Abu FaniM
  • 22V. KostovM
  • 4M. IvanicM
  • 17Bruno DuarteF
Substitutes
  • 50S. Radanovic
  • 77I. GutesaG
  • 7M. ArnautovicF
  • 8K. BalovM
  • 9J. EnemF
  • 10A. KataiM
  • 14O. BukariM
  • 24N. StankovicD
  • 27M. StrikaD
Coach: Dejan Stankovic

Head-to-head: Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda

  • 21 July 2026Larne 0–4 FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Champions League

Leading scorers: Larne and FK Crvena Zvezda

Larne

No leading scorers listed yet.

FK Crvena Zvezda

  • V. Kostov4 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.