FC Luzern vs Lausanne Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Luzern 1-0 Lausanne.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% FC Luzern, 25% draw, 35% Lausanne — fair odds of 2.50, 4.00 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FC Luzern at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Luzern vs Lausanne
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30Karlo LeticaG
- 20Pius DornD
- 13Bung Hua FreimannD
- 46Bung Meng FreimannD
- 14Andrejs CigaņiksD
- 24Tyron OwusuM
- 80Mio ZimmermannM
- 6Leonardo BertoneM
- 11Matteo Di GiustoM
- 16Oscar KabwitF
- 19Daniel MikołajewskiF
- 10Lucas SilvaM
- 5Stefan KneževićD
- 71Sascha MeyerF
- 17Sandro WyssF
- 15Nando ToggenburgerF
- 1Simon SimoniG
- 22Rúben DantasD
- 21Loïc LüthiD
- 29Levin WinklerM
- 90Melvin MastilG
- 2Brandon SoppyD
- 3Tyler FredricsonD
- 71Abdou Karim SowD
- 18Morgan PoatyD
- 8Jamie RocheM
- 10Olivier CustodioM
- 11Nathan Butler-OyedejiM
- 80Sekou KoneM
- 91Florent MolletM
- 78Omar JannehF
- 5Dircssi NgonzoD
- 9Enzo MolebeF
- 17Seydou TraoreF
- 47Papa Souleymane N'DiayeM
- 7Alban AjdiniF
- 1Thomas CastellaG
- 22Thomas CordierD
- 6Theo BergvallD
- 20Hamza AbdallahD
Form going into FC Luzern vs Lausanne
FC Luzern
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to FC St. Gallen9 August 2026
- L0-3away to FC Sion2 August 2026
- L1-3FC Thun25 July 2026
Lausanne
All competitions we cover
- D2-2BSC Young Boys8 August 2026
- W1-0away to FC Basel 18931 August 2026
- D1-1Grasshoppers25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Switzerland Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Luzern | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 13 |
| 12 | Lausanne | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Luzern vs Lausanne
- 2 May 2026Lausanne 1–3 FC LuzernSuper League
- 22 March 2026FC Luzern 4–0 LausanneSuper League
- 21 December 2025Lausanne 0–4 FC LuzernSuper League
- 19 October 2025FC Luzern 2–2 LausanneSuper League
- 11 May 2025FC Luzern 1–1 LausanneSuper League
Leading scorers: FC Luzern and Lausanne
FC Luzern
GoalsAssists
- D. Mikołajewski43
- M. Di Giusto43
Lausanne
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Luzern beat Lausanne 1–0. The model had made a win for FC Luzern its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Matteo Di Giusto 3' for FC Luzern. On expected goals it finished 1.13–0.43.