Radnicki 1923
vs
IMT Novi Beograd
Super Liga prediction
The model makes it 35% Radnicki 1923, 40% draw, 25% IMT Novi Beograd — fair odds of 2.86, 2.50 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-0 (26%).
Expected goals: Radnicki 1923 0.78, IMT Novi Beograd 0.61.
Both teams to score: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 16%, under 2.5: 84%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Radnicki 1923
- W3-0Zemun8 August 2026
- L0-3away to Cukaricki1 August 2026
- L0-1away to Novi Pazar18 July 2026
IMT Novi Beograd
- W2-1away to FK Partizan2 August 2026
- W4-0Zemun25 July 2026
- W1-0away to Cukaricki19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Radnicki 1923 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 2 | IMT Novi Beograd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Radnicki 1923
- M. Cissé2 goals
IMT Novi Beograd
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Radnicki 1923 carry a model rating of 6.43 against 6.47 for IMT Novi Beograd. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Radnicki 1923 L-L-W; IMT Novi Beograd W-W-W.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 0.78 goals for Radnicki 1923 and 0.61 for IMT Novi Beograd. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Radnicki 1923 rate 0.40 in attack and 1.09 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; IMT Novi Beograd rate 0.40 and 1.03.
That points to 16% for over two and a half goals and 25% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 0-0 (26%), 1-0 (19%), 0-1 (15%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives a draw the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.78 expected goals for Radnicki 1923 against 0.61 for IMT Novi Beograd. Radnicki 1923's attack/defence rating is 0.4/1.09 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.4/1.03 for IMT Novi Beograd.