FC Thun vs Grasshoppers Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Thun 0-1 Grasshoppers.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% FC Thun, 28% draw, 33% Grasshoppers — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Thun at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Thun vs Grasshoppers
Line-ups
- 1N. SteffenG
- 47F. FehrD
- 19J. BamertD
- 23M. BürkiD
- 18T. StrannegårdD
- 16J. RothM
- 13N. ZoukitM
- 70N. ReichmuthM
- 8F. SaizM
- 9F. DursunF
- 96B. LabeauF
- 25T. SpycherG
- 37L. DählerD
- 5N. BürgyD
- 2O. MambwaD
- 15P. KristalM
- 14M. KäitM
- 80S. LengenF
- 30N. MaierM
- 26N. ChristofferssonF
- 1M. HübelG
- 28S. StroscioD
- 58Yannik BettkoberD
- 44B. PllanaD
- 57Nico RissiD
- 10Óscar ClementeM
- 66Manex GibelaldeM
- 6A. AbrashiM
- 60S. BengondoF
- 9N. MuciF
- 17S. KrasniqiF
- 55D. PapicM
- 23S. MarquesM
- 24K. GoudmijnM
- 11G. MorandiM
- 18Lee Young-JunF
- 7L. PlangeF
- 15A. DiabyD
- 34A. ArigoniD
- 71J. HammelG
Form going into FC Thun vs Grasshoppers
FC Thun
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to FC Sion6 September 2026
- D0-0Lausanne2 September 2026
- W4-3away to FC St. Gallen30 August 2026
- D2-2Lech Poznan27 August 2026
- L0-7away to Lech Poznan20 August 2026
Grasshoppers
All competitions we cover
- D2-2FC Zurich5 September 2026
- W2-0FC St. Gallen2 September 2026
- L2-5away to FC Vaduz30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Servette FC8 August 2026
- L1-4FC Lugano2 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Thun failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Thun conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FC Thun had three goals or more.
- Grasshoppers scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Grasshoppers failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Grasshoppers conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Thun | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 10 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Thun vs Grasshoppers
- 14 March 2026FC Thun 5–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 18 January 2026Grasshoppers 1–3 FC ThunSuper League
- 30 August 2025FC Thun 1–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 13 September 2024FC Thun 0–2 GrasshoppersSchweizer Cup
- 31 May 2024FC Thun 1–2 GrasshoppersSuper League
The result against the call
Grasshoppers won 1–0 at FC Thun. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Thun at 39% and given a win for Grasshoppers 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Samuele Bengondo 23' for Grasshoppers. Sent off: Marco Burki (FC Thun) 38'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.