Regular Season - 8 · 12 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC St. Gallen vs FC Sion Super League prediction & result

Kybunpark, St. Gallen
Full time0 – 3

Final score: FC St. Gallen 0-3 FC Sion.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% FC St. Gallen, 28% draw, 33% FC Sion — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: FC St. Gallen 1.62, FC Sion 1.42.

Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.

Model confidence: Low.

Published · updated

Model insights: FC St. Gallen vs FC Sion

61%
Both teams to score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 12%2-1 9%1-2 8%

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC St. Gallen at 39% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC St. Gallen0%Draw1%FC Sion99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

23'
Franck Surdez
37'
⚽Ylyas Chouarefassist: Winsley Boteli Mokango
45+1'
⚽Franck Surdezassist: Winsley Boteli Mokango
🔁Hugo Vandermerschout: Enoch owusu
45'
59'
⚽Ali Kabacalmanassist: Ylyas Chouaref
🔁Carlo Boukhalfaout: Behar·Neziri
60'
🔁Nevio Scherrerout: Diego Besio
60'
🔁Aliou Baldeout: Andrin Hunziker
61'
🔁Leon Frokajout: Christian Witzig
61'
Jozo Stanić
61'
66'
🔁Franck Surdezout: Josias Lukembila
66'
🔁Ylyas Chouarefout: Rilind Nivokazi
66'
🔁Winsley Boteli Mokangoout: Théo Berdayes
78'
🔁Donat Rrudhaniout: Liam Chipperfield
80'
🔁Ali Kabacalmanout: Benjamin Kololli
Andrin Hunziker
84'

Match stats — FC St. Gallen vs FC Sion

55%Possession45%
20Shots11
6On target8
10Corners2

Line-ups

FC St. Gallen 3-5-2
  • 1L. ZigiG
  • 3C. Kleine-BekelD
  • 4J. StanićD
  • 36C. OkorojiD
  • 28H. VandermerschM
  • 20L. FrokajM
  • 10L. DaschnerM
  • 11C. BoukhalfaM
  • 64M. StevanovicM
  • 70N. ScherrerF
  • 14A. BaldeF
Substitutes
  • 25L. WatkowiakG
  • 68M. HeydariD
  • 74J. RuizD
  • 7C. WitzigM
  • 6B. NeziriM
  • 23B. FazlijiM
  • 31D. BesioF
  • 47E. OwusuM
  • 9A. HunzikerF
Coach: E. Maaßen
FC Sion 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. RacioppiG
  • 14N. LavanchyD
  • 5N. SowD
  • 17J. KronigD
  • 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
  • 88A. KabacalmanM
  • 8Baltazar CostaM
  • 7I. ChouarefM
  • 77D. RrudhaniM
  • 19F. SurdezM
  • 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
Substitutes
  • 12F. RubertoG
  • 55L. VillaD
  • 20N. HeftiD
  • 29T. BerdayesF
  • 9J. LukembilaF
  • 38R. KesslerD
  • 21L. ChipperfieldM
  • 10B. KololliM
  • 33R. NivokaziF
Coach: D. Tholot

Form going into FC St. Gallen vs FC Sion

FC St. Gallen

  • W2-0away to Servette FC6 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Grasshoppers2 September 2026
  • L3-4FC Thun30 August 2026
  • D2-2FC Luzern9 August 2026

FC Sion

  • W3-2FC Thun6 September 2026
  • W2-1away to FC Basel 18933 September 2026
  • L1-2FC Lugano30 August 2026
  • W3-2FC Vaduz9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5FC St. Gallen73131214-210
3FC Sion75021711+615

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC St. Gallen vs FC Sion

  • 12 September 2026FC St. Gallen 0–3 FC SionSuper League
  • 3 May 2026FC St. Gallen 0–3 FC SionSuper League
  • 21 March 2026FC Sion 1–1 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • 16 December 2025FC St. Gallen 3–1 FC SionSuper League
  • 28 October 2025FC Sion 3–2 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • 13 May 2025FC Sion 1–1 FC St. GallenSuper League

Leading scorers: FC St. Gallen and FC Sion

FC St. Gallen

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

FC Sion

  • Winsley Boteli Mokango5 goals3 assists
  • D. Rrudhani3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Expected against actual

Pre-match the model expected 1.62 goals for FC St. Gallen and 1.42 for FC Sion; the game produced 0 and 3.

Goals

Scorers, in order: Ylyas Chouaref 37' (FC Sion), Franck Surdez 45' (FC Sion), Ali Kabacalman 59' (FC Sion).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FC St. Gallen the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.62 expected goals for FC St. Gallen against 1.42 for FC Sion. FC St. Gallen's attack/defence rating is 0.75/1.42 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.83/1.33 for FC Sion.