12 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC St. Gallen vs FC Sion Super League prediction & result

Kybunpark, St. Gallen
Full time0 – 3

Final score: FC St. Gallen 0-3 FC Sion.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% FC St. Gallen, 28% draw, 30% FC Sion — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC St. Gallen at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC St. Gallen0%Draw1%FC Sion99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

23'
Franck Surdez
37'
⚽Ylyas Chouarefassist: Winsley Boteli Mokango
45+1'
⚽Franck Surdezassist: Winsley Boteli Mokango
🔁Hugo Vandermerschout: Enoch owusu
45'
59'
⚽Ali Kabacalmanassist: Ylyas Chouaref
🔁Carlo Boukhalfaout: Behar·Neziri
60'
🔁Nevio Scherrerout: Diego Besio
60'
🔁Aliou Baldeout: Andrin Hunziker
61'
🔁Leon Frokajout: Christian Witzig
61'
Jozo Stanić
61'
66'
🔁Franck Surdezout: Josias Lukembila
66'
🔁Ylyas Chouarefout: Rilind Nivokazi
66'
🔁Winsley Boteli Mokangoout: Théo Berdayes
78'
🔁Donat Rrudhaniout: Liam Chipperfield
80'
🔁Ali Kabacalmanout: Benjamin Kololli
Andrin Hunziker
84'

Match stats — FC St. Gallen vs FC Sion

55%Possession45%
20Shots11
6On target8
10Corners2

Line-ups

FC St. Gallen 3-5-2
  • 1L. ZigiG
  • 3C. Kleine-BekelD
  • 4J. StanićD
  • 36C. OkorojiD
  • 28H. VandermerschM
  • 20L. FrokajM
  • 10L. DaschnerM
  • 11C. BoukhalfaM
  • 64M. StevanovicM
  • 70N. ScherrerF
  • 14A. BaldeF
Substitutes
  • 25L. WatkowiakG
  • 68M. HeydariD
  • 74J. RuizD
  • 7C. WitzigM
  • 6B. NeziriM
  • 23B. FazlijiM
  • 31D. BesioF
  • 47E. OwusuM
  • 9A. HunzikerF
Coach: E. Maaßen
FC Sion 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. RacioppiG
  • 14N. LavanchyD
  • 5N. SowD
  • 17J. KronigD
  • 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
  • 88A. KabacalmanM
  • 8Baltazar CostaM
  • 7I. ChouarefM
  • 77D. RrudhaniM
  • 19F. SurdezM
  • 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
Substitutes
  • 12F. RubertoG
  • 55L. VillaD
  • 20N. HeftiD
  • 29T. BerdayesF
  • 9J. LukembilaF
  • 38R. KesslerD
  • 21L. ChipperfieldM
  • 10B. KololliM
  • 33R. NivokaziF
Coach: D. Tholot

Form going into FC St. Gallen vs FC Sion

FC St. Gallen

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to Servette FC6 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Grasshoppers2 September 2026
  • L3-4FC Thun30 August 2026
  • L2-3FC Nordsjaelland27 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Nordsjaelland20 August 2026

FC Sion

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2FC Thun6 September 2026
  • W2-1away to FC Basel 18933 September 2026
  • L1-2FC Lugano30 August 2026
  • L3-5away to Ajax27 August 2026
  • L2-4Ajax20 August 2026

What these results say

  • FC St. Gallen failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC St. Gallen conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC Sion scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Sion conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for FC Sion had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6FC St. Gallen115151721-416
3FC Sion117132417+722

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC St. Gallen vs FC Sion

  • 3 May 2026FC St. Gallen 0–3 FC SionSuper League
  • 21 March 2026FC Sion 1–1 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • 16 December 2025FC St. Gallen 3–1 FC SionSuper League
  • 28 October 2025FC Sion 3–2 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • 13 May 2025FC Sion 1–1 FC St. GallenSuper League

Leading scorers: FC St. Gallen and FC Sion

FC St. Gallen

GoalsAssists

  • A. Balde31

FC Sion

GoalsAssists

  • Winsley Boteli Mokango64
  • J. Lukembila34

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Sion won 3–0 at FC St. Gallen. The model had leaned towards a win for FC St. Gallen at 42% and given a win for FC Sion 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Ylyas Chouaref 37' for FC Sion, Franck Surdez 45+1' for FC Sion, Ali Kabacalman 59' for FC Sion.

How the call on FC St. Gallen v FC Sion has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 40% / 28% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is FC St. Gallen's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. FC St. Gallen win42%▲ +2
  2. Draw28%=
  3. FC Sion win30%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.