Radnicki 1923
vs
Mladost Lucani
Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Radnicki 1923 5-0 Mladost Lucani.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Radnicki 1923, 29% draw, 21% Mladost Lucani — fair odds of 2.00, 3.45 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (16%).
Expected goals: Radnicki 1923 1.64, Mladost Lucani 0.68.
Both teams to score: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: High.
Published · updated
Model insights: Radnicki 1923 vs Mladost Lucani
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Radnicki 1923 at 50% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Radnicki 1923 vs Mladost Lucani
Line-ups
- 81L. LijeskiÄG
- 7B. NikčevićD
- 14S. SimovićD
- 6H. HiloD
- 11I. BabićD
- 27M. RistićM
- 10M. CisséM
- 19D. BuchtaM
- 35N. GlavčićM
- 77Issa BahM
- 9U. SremčevićF
- 28S. AlićM
- 2M. MezghraniM
- 99A. SuljićF
- 5Nikola MarjanovićD
- 26A. MarušićF
- 70J. ŽivkovićF
- 4N. MiličićD
- 80J. IlićM
- 16Vanja TomićM
- 1S. StamenkovićG
- 17A. VarjačićD
- 7N. AndrićD
- 30N. ĆirkovićD
- 33V. JovanovićD
- 44M. CvetkovićD
- 88Vasil TasovskiM
- 18F. ŽunićM
- 5V. KijevčaninM
- 25J. ĆirićM
- 22JoãoF
- 9Petar BojićM
- 14T. BondarenkoD
- 36D. DjokicM
- 39J. UzuegbunamF
- 12M. JoksimovićD
- 29D. JovančićM
- 24V. MarkovićM
- 20Aleksa MiloševićD
- 21N. PopovićG
Form going into Radnicki 1923 vs Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
- D0-0away to Macva5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Radnicki NIS29 August 2026
- W2-1IMT Novi Beograd22 August 2026
- W1-0away to FK Partizan16 August 2026
Mladost Lucani
- W1-0Radnicki NIS5 September 2026
- L0-2away to IMT Novi Beograd30 August 2026
- W3-1FK Partizan23 August 2026
- W1-0away to Zemun16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Radnicki 1923 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 | Mladost Lucani | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radnicki 1923 vs Mladost Lucani
- 12 September 2026Radnicki 1923 5–0 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
- 23 April 2026Mladost Lucani 0–0 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
- 4 April 2026Radnicki 1923 1–1 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
- 3 December 2025Mladost Lucani 0–2 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
- 4 May 2025Radnicki 1923 1–1 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
- 16 February 2025Radnicki 1923 1–0 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Radnicki 1923 and Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
- M. Cissé3 goals1 assists
Mladost Lucani
- Vasil Tasovski3 goals
- João3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.64 goals for Radnicki 1923 and 0.68 for Mladost Lucani; the game produced 5 and 0.
A gap that size between expected and actual goals is normal in a single match — it is the reason we publish probabilities rather than predictions, and why the record below is measured over hundreds of games rather than one.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Issa·Bah 6' (Radnicki 1923), Mohamed Cisse 10' (Radnicki 1923), Nemanja Glavčić 45' (Radnicki 1923), David Buchta 65' (Radnicki 1923), Jovan Živković 84' (Radnicki 1923).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Radnicki 1923 the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.64 expected goals for Radnicki 1923 against 0.68 for Mladost Lucani. Radnicki 1923's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.34 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.42/1.58 for Mladost Lucani.