12 September 2026, 18:30 UTC

Radnicki 1923 vs Mladost Lucani Super Liga prediction & result

Kragujevac
Full time5 – 0

Final score: Radnicki 1923 5-0 Mladost Lucani.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Radnicki 1923, 33% draw, 29% Mladost Lucani — fair odds of 2.63, 3.03 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Radnicki 1923 at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Radnicki 192399%Draw1%Mladost Lucani0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Issa·Bah
6'
⚽Mohamed Cisseassist: Slobodan Simović
10'
hassan hilo
15'
🔁Slobodan Simovićout: Marjanovic nikola
20'
25'
mihailo todosijevic
⚽Nemanja Glavčićassist: David Buchta
45+2'
45'
🔁Filip Zunicout: Vukasin Markovic
45'
🔁Aleksandar Varjacicout: Petar Bojić
48'
Vukasin Markovic
55'
🔁Jovan ciricout: John Mary
62'
Petar Bojić
64'
Nikola Ćirković
⚽David Buchtaassist: Mohamed Cisse
65'
🔁Mohamed Cisseout: Asmir Suljić
67'
🔁Issa·Bahout: Jovan Živković
67'
69'
🔁Veljko Kijevcaninout: Taras Bondarenko
🔁Ilija·Babicout: Mohamed Mezghrani
74'
🔁David Buchtaout: Aleksa Marusic
74'
Mohamed Mezghrani
79'
83'
🔁Vasil Tašovskiout: David Djokic
⚽Jovan Živkovićassist: Mohamed Mezghrani
84'

Match stats — Radnicki 1923 vs Mladost Lucani

65%Possession35%
25Shots5
12On target1
8Corners7

Line-ups

Radnicki 1923 4-1-4-1
  • 81L. LijeskićG
  • 7B. NikčevićD
  • 14S. SimovićD
  • 6H. HiloD
  • 11I. BabićD
  • 27M. RistićM
  • 10M. CisséM
  • 19D. BuchtaM
  • 35N. GlavčićM
  • 77Issa BahM
  • 9U. SremčevićF
Substitutes
  • 28S. AlićM
  • 2M. MezghraniM
  • 99A. SuljićF
  • 5Nikola MarjanovićD
  • 26A. MarušićF
  • 70J. ŽivkovićF
  • 4N. MiličićD
  • 80J. IlićM
  • 16Vanja TomićM
Coach: Fedja Dudic
Mladost Lucani 5-4-1
  • 1S. StamenkovićG
  • 17A. VarjačićD
  • 7N. AndrićD
  • 30N. ĆirkovićD
  • 33V. JovanovićD
  • 44M. CvetkovićD
  • 88Vasil TasovskiM
  • 18F. ŽunićM
  • 5V. KijevčaninM
  • 25J. ĆirićM
  • 22JoãoF
Substitutes
  • 9Petar BojićM
  • 14T. BondarenkoD
  • 36D. DjokicM
  • 39J. UzuegbunamF
  • 12M. JoksimovićD
  • 29D. JovančićM
  • 24V. MarkovićM
  • 20Aleksa MiloševićD
  • 21N. PopovićG
Coach: R. Ćurčić

Form going into Radnicki 1923 vs Mladost Lucani

Radnicki 1923

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Macva5 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Radnicki NIS29 August 2026
  • W2-1IMT Novi Beograd22 August 2026
  • W1-0away to FK Partizan16 August 2026
  • W3-0Zemun8 August 2026

Mladost Lucani

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Radnicki NIS5 September 2026
  • L0-2away to IMT Novi Beograd30 August 2026
  • W3-1FK Partizan23 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Zemun16 August 2026
  • D2-2Cukaricki9 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Radnicki 1923136251916+320
7Mladost Lucani134631218-618

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Radnicki 1923 vs Mladost Lucani

  • 23 April 2026Mladost Lucani 0–0 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
  • 4 April 2026Radnicki 1923 1–1 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 3 December 2025Mladost Lucani 0–2 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
  • 4 May 2025Radnicki 1923 1–1 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 16 February 2025Radnicki 1923 1–0 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Radnicki 1923 and Mladost Lucani

Radnicki 1923

GoalsAssists

  • U. Sremčević50
  • M. Cissé41

Mladost Lucani

GoalsAssists

  • Vasil Tasovski40
  • João31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Radnicki 1923 beat Mladost Lucani 5–0. The model had made a win for Radnicki 1923 its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Issa·Bah 6' for Radnicki 1923, Mohamed Cisse 10' for Radnicki 1923, Nemanja Glavčić 45+2' for Radnicki 1923, David Buchta 65' for Radnicki 1923, Jovan Živković 84' for Radnicki 1923.

How the call on Radnicki 1923 v Mladost Lucani has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 32% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 38% / 33% / 29%: the biggest move is Radnicki 1923's chance of winning, down 7 points.

  1. Radnicki 1923 win38%▼ −7
  2. Draw33%▲ +1
  3. Mladost Lucani win29%▲ +6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.