28 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Dinamo Zagreb 3-2 FC Thun.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Dinamo Zagreb, 29% draw, 25% FC Thun — fair odds of 2.17, 3.45 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: FC Thun 1–1 Dinamo Zagreb (21 Jul) →

Dinamo Zagreb went through 4–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dinamo Zagreb at 46% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
⚽B. Labeauassist: N. Zoukit
Miha Zajc
21'
22'
⚽M. Burkiassist: F. Fehr
Bruno Goda
26'
🔁B. Godaout: M. Perez Vinlof
46'
46'
🔁F. Dursunout: M. Gutbub
🔁G. Vidovicout: L. Kacavenda
58'
🔁M. Lisicaout: F. Topic
58'
58'
🔁N. Zoukitout: N. Maier
🔁M. Orsicout: A. Hoxha
59'
Josip Mišić
62'
Fran Topić
64'
66'
•Marco Bürki
67'
Marco Bürki
68'
🔁B. Labeauout: N. Burgy
⚽D. Beljoassist: M. Valincic
74'
77'
🔁N. Reichmuthout: L. Dahler
⚽L. Kacavendaassist: F. Topic
78'
🔁S. Dominguezout: N. Galesic
91'
106'
🔁F. Fehrout: C. Ibayi
⚽M. Valincicassist: J. Misic
112'
116'
Christopher Ibayi
116'
🔁J. Rothout: L. Stewart
Arber Hoxha
120'
🔁J. Misicout: S. Radeljic
120+2'

Match stats — Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun

76%Possession24%
29Shots8
6On target3
14Corners1

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb 4-1-4-1
  • 44I. FilipovicG
  • 25M. ValincicD
  • 36S. DominguezD
  • 26S. McKennaD
  • 3B. GodaD
  • 27J. MisicM
  • 21M. LisicaM
  • 10G. VidovicM
  • 8M. ZajcM
  • 99M. OrsicM
  • 9D. BeljoF
Substitutes
  • 1D. ZagoracG
  • 33I. NevisticG
  • 11A. HoxhaF
  • 41S. SuntaM
  • 6S. RadeljicD
  • 15N. GalesicD
  • 13P. TabinasD
  • 80L. KacavendaM
  • 22M. Perez VinlofD
Coach: Mario Kovacevic
FC Thun 4-4-2
  • 1N. SteffenG
  • 47F. FehrD
  • 19J. BamertD
  • 23M. BurkiD
  • 27M. HeuleD
  • 70N. ReichmuthM
  • 16J. RothM
  • 13N. ZoukitM
  • 78V. MatoshiM
  • 9F. DursunF
  • 96B. LabeauF
Substitutes
  • 25T. SpycherG
  • 5N. BurgyD
  • 18C. IbayiF
  • 30N. MaierM
  • 21D. DerbaciM
  • 80S. LengenF
  • 54L. PassavantD
  • 11L. StewartF
  • 17A. BalarubanD
Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian

Form going into Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to FC Thun21 July 2026

FC Thun

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1away to FC Luzern25 July 2026
  • D1-1Dinamo Zagreb21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun

  • 21 July 2026FC Thun 1–1 Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Champions League

The result against the call

Dinamo Zagreb beat FC Thun 3–2. The model had made a win for Dinamo Zagreb its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: B. Labeau 4' for FC Thun, M. Burki 22' for FC Thun, D. Beljo 74' for Dinamo Zagreb, L. Kacavenda 78' for Dinamo Zagreb, M. Valincic 112' for Dinamo Zagreb. Sent off: Marco Bürki (FC Thun) 67'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.