Cukaricki vs Novi Pazar Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Cukaricki 1-1 Novi Pazar.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Cukaricki, 27% draw, 37% Novi Pazar — fair odds of 2.78, 3.70 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Serbian SuperLiga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Novi Pazar at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cukaricki vs Novi Pazar
Line-ups
- 81V. ČarapićG
- 24N. StankovićD
- 23I. MaigaD
- 26M. ĐokovićD
- 3Z. ŠehovićD
- 14S. SissokoM
- 5M. DocićM
- 51Remy Rees-DottinM
- 18karel mustmaaM
- 9Luka ĐorđevićM
- 99Đ. JovanovićF
- 20A. CisseM
- 73N. MiletićD
- 27A. NanqueF
- 1Đ. NikolićG
- 72U. NikolićM
- 50M. PavkovF
- 87Mateja ProkopijevićM
- 16S. AndjelicD
- 6V. ZuricD
- 1Bogdan MatijaševićG
- 2A. MiljkovićD
- 4Allan De LeónD
- 23J. MarinkovićD
- 50T. DadićD
- 6P. GadioM
- 8Skima TogbeM
- 10D. SadiM
- 24I. DavidovićM
- 20K. DixonM
- 99F. MulićF
- 18H. KadrićF
- 7JonnyF
- 5S. MelentijevićD
- 21M. PetrovićM
- 12M. PrekovićG
- 11Nikola SkrobonjaM
- 14N. StankovicM
- 26D. Johnson AgwomF
- 70D. JankovićM
Form going into Cukaricki vs Novi Pazar
Cukaricki
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Radnik Surdulica5 September 2026
- L0-5Vojvodina29 August 2026
- L0-4away to FK Crvena Zvezda23 August 2026
- W2-0OFK Beograd15 August 2026
- D2-2away to Mladost Lucani9 August 2026
Novi Pazar
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Železničar Pančevo4 September 2026
- D1-1Macva29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Radnik Surdulica23 August 2026
- W2-0Vojvodina17 August 2026
- L0-2away to FK Crvena Zvezda8 August 2026
What these results say
- Cukaricki failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Cukaricki conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Cukaricki had three goals or more.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Novi Pazar had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cukaricki | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cukaricki vs Novi Pazar
- 26 April 2026Novi Pazar 2–2 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 15 March 2026Novi Pazar 1–1 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 19 October 2025Cukaricki 1–1 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 17 February 2025Cukaricki 1–1 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 15 September 2024Novi Pazar 2–2 CukarickiSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Cukaricki and Novi Pazar
Cukaricki
GoalsAssists
- U. Miladinović53
Novi Pazar
GoalsAssists
- K. Dixon52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Cukaricki and Novi Pazar drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Novi Pazar at 37% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Remy Rees-Dottin 17' for Cukaricki, Nikola·Stankovic (own goal) 38' for Novi Pazar.
How the call on Cukaricki v Novi Pazar has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 37% / 30% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 36% / 27% / 37%: the biggest move is Novi Pazar's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Cukaricki win36%▼ −1
- Draw27%▼ −3
- Novi Pazar win37%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.