19 September 2026, 17:30 UTC

Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Haifa Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Beitar Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel Haifa.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Beitar Jerusalem, 31% draw, 29% Hapoel Haifa — fair odds of 2.50, 3.23 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Beitar Jerusalem at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Beitar Jerusalem97%Draw3%Hapoel Haifa0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Eugene Ansahassist: Omer Atzili
11'
18'
•yaad gonen
18'
yaad gonen
timothy muzie
27'
⚽Omer Atziliassist: Tomer Yosefi
31'
37'
Shai Elias
Brayan Carabalí
43'
roey elimelech
45+5'
🔁Shon Weissmanout: liel deri
45'
🔁roey elimelechout: Yarden Shua
57'
🔁Eugene Ansahout: Gil Cohen
57'
60'
🔁Shai Eliasout: Anis Forat Ayias
60'
🔁Liran Rotmanout: William Agade
Luka Gadrani
62'
66'
Ivan Kričak
⚽Yarden Shua (pen)
68'
•Dagats Worko
69'
🔁Omer Atziliout: Johnbosco Samuel Kalu
69'
70'
Arial Mendy
🔁Tomer Yosefiout: Alexis Serna
76'
76'
🔁Alon Turgemanout: C Diakité
82'
⚽William Agade (pen)
82'
⚽William Agade
85'
🔁Anis Forat Ayiasout: Wahib·Habiballa
85'
🔁Noam Cohenout: Itai Zafrani

Match stats — Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Haifa

50%Possession50%
17Shots16
6On target5
2Corners2

Line-ups

Beitar Jerusalem 4-3-3
  • 55Miguel SilvaG
  • 14R. ElimelechD
  • 4B. CarabalíD
  • 44L. GadraniD
  • 11T. MuziD
  • 30T. YosefiM
  • 40B. EnowM
  • 26D. WorkoM
  • 77O. AtziliF
  • 19S. WeissmanF
  • 13E. AnsahF
Substitutes
  • 10A. YonaM
  • 5G. CohenD
  • 8Z. ShimolM
  • 25L. DeriD
  • 9J. KaluF
  • 15N. MucheM
  • 22Y. OzerG
  • 80Alexis SernaM
  • 7Y. ShuaF
Coach: Almog Cohen
Hapoel Haifa 4-2-3-1
  • 1Y. GerafiG
  • 2N. CohenD
  • 13D. ŽuparićD
  • 5I. KričakD
  • 77A. MendyD
  • 55N. SabagM
  • 8Cheick KeitaM
  • 15Y. GonenM
  • 10S. EliasM
  • 7L. RotmanM
  • 17A. TurgemanF
Substitutes
  • 18Itay ZafraniF
  • 9W. AgadaF
  • 23M. AmbarG
  • 21C DiakitéF
  • 25G. DibaD
  • 14W. HabiballaF
  • 4D. MalulD
  • 11I. S. FahimaM
  • 12A. AyiasF
Coach: H. Silbas

Form going into Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Haifa

Beitar Jerusalem

Ligat Ha'al

  • W3-1Maccabi Petah Tikva15 September 2026

Hapoel Haifa

Ligat Ha'al

  • W3-1Bnei Sakhnin14 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Beitar Jerusalem8512129+316
9Hapoel Haifa82331115-49

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Haifa

  • 31 January 2026Beitar Jerusalem 2–2 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 25 October 2025Hapoel Haifa 2–3 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
  • 18 August 2025Beitar Jerusalem 5–0 Hapoel HaifaToto Cup Ligat Al
  • 11 May 2025Hapoel Haifa 1–0 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
  • 6 April 2025Beitar Jerusalem 0–1 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 15 February 2025Hapoel Haifa 3–2 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Haifa

Beitar Jerusalem

GoalsAssists

  • O. Atzili32
  • E. Ansah30

Hapoel Haifa

GoalsAssists

  • A. Turgeman41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Beitar Jerusalem beat Hapoel Haifa 2–1. The model had made a win for Beitar Jerusalem its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Eugene Ansah 11' for Beitar Jerusalem, Omer Atzili 31' for Beitar Jerusalem, William Agade 82' for Hapoel Haifa. Sent off: yaad gonen (Hapoel Haifa) 18', Brayan Carabalí (Beitar Jerusalem) 43'.

How the call on Beitar Jerusalem v Hapoel Haifa has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 36% / 37% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 40% / 31% / 29%: the biggest move is the draw, down 6 points.

  1. Beitar Jerusalem win40%▲ +4
  2. Draw31%▼ −6
  3. Hapoel Haifa win29%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.