FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Luzern 5-1 Grasshoppers.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% FC Luzern, 28% draw, 32% Grasshoppers — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Luzern at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers
Line-ups
- 30K. LeticaG
- 22R. FernandesD
- 5S. KneževićD
- 46B. FreimannD
- 14A. CigaņiksD
- 80Mio ZimmermannM
- 6L. BertoneM
- 24T. OwusuM
- 11M. Di GiustoM
- 19D. MikołajewskiF
- 16O. tshikombF
- 1S. SimoniG
- 21L. LüthiD
- 10Lucas FerreiraM
- 29Levin WinklerM
- 27L. VilligerF
- 17Sandro WyssF
- 9A. GrbićF
- 18Bongeli Faveurdi BeengaF
- 15N. ToggenburgerF
- 1M. HübelG
- 28S. StroscioD
- 58Yannik BettkoberD
- 44B. PllanaD
- 57Nico RissiD
- 10Óscar ClementeM
- 66Manex GibelaldeM
- 6A. AbrashiM
- 11G. MorandiF
- 9N. MuciF
- 17S. KrasniqiF
- 25J. HiltonD
- 55D. PapicM
- 56D. SahinM
- 24K. GoudmijnM
- 18Lee Young-JunF
- 60S. BengondoF
- 34A. ArigoniD
- 4L. MikulicD
- 71J. HammelG
Form going into FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers
FC Luzern
Super League
- L2-4FC Basel 189313 September 2026
- D3-3away to BSC Young Boys5 September 2026
Grasshoppers
Super League
- L2-5FC Sion15 September 2026
- W1-0away to FC Thun12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Luzern | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers
- 25 April 2026Grasshoppers 1–2 FC LuzernSuper League
- 10 February 2026FC Luzern 4–3 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 2 November 2025FC Luzern 6–0 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 26 July 2025Grasshoppers 2–3 FC LuzernSuper League
- 6 April 2025Grasshoppers 3–1 FC LuzernSuper League
Leading scorers: FC Luzern and Grasshoppers
FC Luzern
GoalsAssists
- D. Mikołajewski43
Grasshoppers
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Luzern beat Grasshoppers 5–1. The model had made a win for FC Luzern its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Tyron Owusu 5' for FC Luzern, Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb 9' for FC Luzern, Daniel Mikołajewski (penalty) 60' for FC Luzern, Daniel Mikołajewski 73' for FC Luzern, Samuele Bengondo 76' for Grasshoppers, Daniel Mikołajewski 86' for FC Luzern.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.