FC Thun vs Servette FC Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Thun 2-4 Servette FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% FC Thun, 32% draw, 31% Servette FC — fair odds of 2.70, 3.13 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Thun at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Thun vs Servette FC
Line-ups
- 1N. SteffenG
- 47F. FehrD
- 5N. BürgyD
- 19J. BamertD
- 18T. StrannegårdD
- 70N. ReichmuthM
- 16J. RothM
- 13N. ZoukitM
- 8F. SaizM
- 96B. LabeauF
- 26N. ChristofferssonF
- 25T. SpycherG
- 15P. KristalM
- 37L. DählerD
- 9F. DursunF
- 14M. KäitM
- 80S. LengenF
- 30N. MaierM
- 2O. MambwaD
- 54L. PassavantD
- 1E. GertmonasG
- 17Houboulang MendesD
- 34T. AllixD
- 15M. BurchD
- 18B. MazikouD
- 28D. DoulineM
- 22M. LambourdeM
- 9M. StevanovićM
- 20Jarell Njike SimoM
- 14L. NjohM
- 7K. MutandwaF
- 37Sylvain Claude Djoho FilhoD
- 27D. FofanaF
- 42Ivan IzquierdoM
- 21J. KarlssonF
- 36Thomas LopesM
- 23Q. MaceirasD
- 41T. NunezF
- 44Louis RiederG
- 39Eronis HaxhiuM
Form going into FC Thun vs Servette FC
FC Thun
Super League
- L0-1Grasshoppers12 September 2026
Servette FC
Super League
- W1-0away to Lausanne13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Thun | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 10 |
| 5 | Servette FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Thun vs Servette FC
- 8 February 2026Servette FC 1–3 FC ThunSuper League
- 8 November 2025Servette FC 0–1 FC ThunSuper League
- 18 October 2025FC Thun 3–1 Servette FCSuper League
- 27 October 2021FC Thun 4–1 Servette FCSchweizer Cup
- 22 July 2020FC Thun 5–1 Servette FCSuper League
Leading scorers: FC Thun and Servette FC
FC Thun
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Servette FC
GoalsAssists
- K. Mutandwa50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Servette FC won 4–2 at FC Thun. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Thun at 37% and given a win for Servette FC 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Kingstone Mutandwa 4' for Servette FC, Mathis Lambourde 29' for Servette FC, fabio saiz 38' for FC Thun, fabio saiz 54' for FC Thun, Teo Allix 65' for Servette FC, David Datro Fofana 86' for Servette FC.
How the call on FC Thun v Servette FC has moved
First published on 2 Sep at 34% / 29% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 37% / 32% / 31%: the biggest move is Servette FC's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- FC Thun win37%▲ +3
- Draw32%▲ +3
- Servette FC win31%▼ −6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.