19 September 2026, 17:15 UTC

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Toto Turner Stadium
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Final score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Ironi Kiryat Shmona.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Hapoel Beer Sheva, 25% draw, 20% Ironi Kiryat Shmona — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Hapoel Beer Sheva at 55% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hapoel Beer Sheva97%Draw3%Ironi Kiryat Shmona0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Idan Nachmias
3'
7'
Alexandre Mussolo Sola
⚽Amir Chaim·Ganahassist: Eilel Peretz
19'
Matan Baltaksa
38'
55'
🔁Shay Sabahout: Mor Simantov
55'
🔁Niv Michael Gabayout: Alexandru Pop
🔁Pedro Miguel Santos Amadorout: Ofir Davidzada
56'
🔁Adrián Ugarrizaout: Igor Zlatanović
56'
🔁Hamode Kanaanout: Forson Amankwah
64'
🔁Amir Chaim·Ganahout: Yonas Malede
64'
68'
🔁Ariel Sheratzkyout: Rufat Abdullazada
🔁Mohamad Abu Rumiout: Miguel Vitor
76'
87'
🔁Talles Costaout: nadav markovitch

Match stats — Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

62%Possession38%
15Shots8
5On target2
6Corners5

Line-ups

Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-3-3
  • 1O. MarcianoG
  • 2G. MizrahiD
  • 15I. NachmiasD
  • 3M. BaltaxaD
  • 5Pedro AmadorD
  • 7E. PeretzM
  • 28N. YehoshuaM
  • 8M. Kna'anM
  • 45M. Abu RumiF
  • 90A. UgarrizaF
  • 11A. GanahF
Substitutes
  • 66I. ZlatanovićF
  • 20J. EastF
  • 13O. DavidzadaD
  • 9Z. AhmedF
  • 17A. ForsonM
  • 4M. VítorD
  • 14Y. MaledeF
  • 27Y. StoyanovM
  • 34M. WolffG
Coach: R. Kojok
Ironi Kiryat Shmona 4-2-3-1
  • 19DanielG
  • 20O. DarwishD
  • 26N. LjubisavljevićD
  • 32S. Ben-DavidD
  • 17I. ShoolmaysterD
  • 63Alexandre SolaM
  • 8Talles CostaM
  • 7A. SagnaM
  • 10A. ShirdatzkiM
  • 11S. SabahM
  • 39N. GabayF
Substitutes
  • 12J. Al HalabiF
  • 44S. EdriD
  • 4A. GlazerD
  • 24N. MarkovitchM
  • 9A. PopM
  • 16M. SimantovD
  • 28I. VaierD
  • 21R. AbdullazadəM
  • 1Nikola DjurkovicG
Coach: S. Barda

Form going into Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Ligat Ha'al

  • W2-0away to Hapoel Petah Tikva13 September 2026

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Ligat Ha'al

  • L0-4Maccabi Haifa14 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Hapoel Beer Sheva86111710+719
13Ironi Kiryat Shmona8107616-103

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

  • 24 January 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva 3–2 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al
  • 18 October 2025Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1–0 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al
  • 14 December 2024Hapoel Beer Sheva 5–1 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al
  • 26 August 2024Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0–1 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al
  • 12 March 2023Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–1 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al
  • 13 November 2022Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0–2 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Hapoel Beer Sheva and Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Hapoel Beer Sheva

GoalsAssists

  • I. Zlatanović40

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hapoel Beer Sheva beat Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1–0. The model had made a win for Hapoel Beer Sheva its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: Amir Chaim·Ganah 19' for Hapoel Beer Sheva.

How the call on Hapoel Beer Sheva v Ironi Kiryat Shmona has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 55% / 25% / 20%: the biggest move is Hapoel Beer Sheva's chance of winning, up 14 points.

  1. Hapoel Beer Sheva win55%▲ +14
  2. Draw25%▼ −4
  3. Ironi Kiryat Shmona win20%▼ −10

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.