9 August 2026, 14:30 UTC

FC Sion vs FC Vaduz Super League prediction & result

Stade de Tourbillon, Sion
Full time3 – 2

Final score: FC Sion 3-2 FC Vaduz.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% FC Sion, 25% draw, 20% FC Vaduz — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Sion at 55%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Sion5%Draw92%FC Vaduz3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽Julian Starkassist: Marcel Monsberger
Donat Rrudhani
8'
9'
🔁Dejan Sorgićout: Dejan Đokić
10'
Lutfi Dalipi
16'
Malik Sawadogo
⚽Donat Rrudhani
21'
36'
⚽Marcel Monsbergerassist: Lutfi Dalipi
Jan Kronig
38'
54'
🔁Julian Starkout: Mats Hammerich
🔁Rilind Nivokaziout: Winsley Boteli Mokango
56'
🔁Josias Lukembilaout: Franck Surdez
56'
🔁Fode Syllaout: Ali Kabacalman
56'
🔁Théo Berdayesout: Ylyas Chouaref
56'
59'
Luca Mack
🔁Donat Rrudhaniout: Liam Scott Chipperfield
67'
74'
Dejan Đokić
75'
🔁Juan Cabreraout: Miloš Cocić
75'
🔁Dejan Đokićout: Daniel Kasper
75'
🔁Denis Simaniout: Niklas Lang
⚽Winsley Boteli Mokangoassist: Marquinhos Cipriano
83'
⚽Franck Surdezassist: Ylyas Chouaref
90+4'

Match stats — FC Sion vs FC Vaduz

54%Possession46%
19Shots11
6On target4
6Corners5
2.81xG1.75

Goals against chances

FC Sion3 from 2.81 xGabout what the chances were worth
FC Vaduz2 from 1.75 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Sion
  • 1Anthony RacioppiG
  • 14Numa LavanchyD
  • 5Noé SowD
  • 17Jan KronigD
  • 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
  • 29Théo BerdayesM
  • 37Fode SyllaM
  • 8BaltazarM
  • 77Donat RrudhaniM
  • 33Rilind NivokaziF
  • 9Josias LukembilaF
Substitutes
  • 7Ylyas ChouarefF
  • 88Ali KabacalmanM
  • 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
  • 19Franck SurdezF
  • 21Liam Scott ChipperfieldM
  • 12Francesco RubertoG
  • 20Nias HeftiD
  • 38Ryan KesslerD
  • 22Adrien LlukesM
Coach: Didier Tholot
FC Vaduz
  • 25Leon SchaffranG
  • 4Nicolas HaslerD
  • 6Denis SimaniD
  • 5Liridon BerishaD
  • 29Malik SawadogoD
  • 17Julian StarkM
  • 20Luca MackM
  • 10Juan CabreraM
  • 11Lutfi DalipiM
  • 39Dejan SorgićF
  • 9Marcel MonsbergerF
Substitutes
  • 19Dejan ĐokićF
  • 23Mats HammerichM
  • 27Niklas LangD
  • 18Daniel KasperF
  • 28Miloš CocićM
  • 1Benjamin BüchelG
  • 7Dominik SchwizerM
  • 14Mischa BeeliD
  • 30Mattia WalkerM
Coach: Marc Schneider

Form going into FC Sion vs FC Vaduz

FC Sion

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to FC Noah6 August 2026
  • W3-0FC Luzern2 August 2026
  • W4-0Bate Borisov30 July 2026
  • L2-4away to BSC Young Boys26 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Bate Borisov23 July 2026

FC Vaduz

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Inter Turku6 August 2026
  • L2-3FC St. Gallen2 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Atlètic Club d'Escaldes30 July 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Lugano26 July 2026
  • W4-0Atlètic Club d'Escaldes23 July 2026

What these results say

  • FC Sion scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for FC Sion had three goals or more.
  • FC Vaduz scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for FC Vaduz had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3FC Sion138232918+1126
11FC Vaduz133192429-510

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Sion vs FC Vaduz

  • 6 April 2024FC Sion 2–2 FC VaduzChallenge League
  • 16 February 2024FC Vaduz 1–2 FC SionChallenge League
  • 10 November 2023FC Sion 3–3 FC VaduzChallenge League
  • 23 July 2023FC Vaduz 0–2 FC SionChallenge League
  • 11 April 2021FC Vaduz 3–0 FC SionSuper League

Leading scorers: FC Sion and FC Vaduz

FC Sion

GoalsAssists

  • Winsley Boteli Mokango64
  • R. Nivokazi50

FC Vaduz

GoalsAssists

  • M. Monsberger61
  • L. Dalipi59
  • Juan Cabrera50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Sion beat FC Vaduz 3–2. The model had made a win for FC Sion its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Julian Stark 5' for FC Vaduz, Donat Rrudhani 21' for FC Sion, Marcel Monsberger 36' for FC Vaduz, Winsley Boteli Mokango 83' for FC Sion, Franck Surdez 90+4' for FC Sion. On expected goals it finished 2.81–1.75.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.