Ajax vs FC Sion UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Ajax 5-3 FC Sion.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Ajax, 23% draw, 18% FC Sion — fair odds of 1.69, 4.35 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ajax at 59% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ajax vs FC Sion
Line-ups
- 1M. ter StegenG
- 2L. RosaD
- 30A. BouwmanD
- 15Y. BaasD
- 12Caio HenriqueD
- 18D. KlaassenM
- 6Y. RegeerM
- 8J. BrandtM
- 23S. BerghuisF
- 99T. ArokodareF
- 68A. OuazaneF
- 22J. HeerkensG
- 26M. PaesG
- 5O. WijndalD
- 3A. GaaeiD
- 36D. JanseD
- 21J. TorrentsD
- 10O. GloukhM
- 24J. MokioM
- 67M. AbdallaM
- 1A. RacioppiG
- 14N. LavanchyD
- 5N. SowD
- 17J. KronigD
- 20N. HeftiD
- 88A. KabacalmanM
- 8BaltazarM
- 7I. ChouarefM
- 13W. BoteliM
- 19F. SurdezM
- 33R. NivokaziF
- 12F. RubertoG
- 40S. CailletG
- 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
- 55L. VillaD
- 38R. KesslerD
- 10B. KololliM
- 77D. RrudhaniM
- 21L. ChipperfieldM
- 37F. SyllaM
Form going into Ajax vs FC Sion
Ajax
- W4-2away to FC Sion20 August 2026
- D2-2Heerenveen16 August 2026
- D2-2away to Shelbourne13 August 2026
- W2-0away to PEC Zwolle9 August 2026
- W3-1Shelbourne6 August 2026
FC Sion
- L2-4Ajax20 August 2026
- W2-1FC Noah13 August 2026
- W3-2FC Vaduz9 August 2026
- D2-2away to FC Noah6 August 2026
- W3-0FC Luzern2 August 2026
What these results say
- Ajax went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Ajax scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Ajax conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Sion scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for FC Sion had three goals or more.
- FC Sion conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ajax and FC Sion in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ajax | Eredivisie | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 14 |
| 3 | FC Sion | Super League | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 19 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Eredivisie · Super League
Head-to-head: Ajax vs FC Sion
- 20 August 2026FC Sion 2–4 AjaxUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Ajax and FC Sion
Ajax
- J. Brandt4 goals
FC Sion
- Winsley Boteli Mokango6 goals4 assists
- J. Lukembila3 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.