Ujpest vs MTK Budapest NB I prediction & result
Final score: Ujpest 1-1 MTK Budapest.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Ujpest, 23% draw, 51% MTK Budapest — fair odds of 3.85, 4.35 and 1.96.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Hungarian NB I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
MTK Budapest at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Ujpest vs MTK Budapest
Ujpest
All competitions we cover
- W4-2away to Kisvarda FC8 August 2026
- W4-2Debreceni VSC2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Nyiregyhaza24 July 2026
MTK Budapest
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Puskas Academy7 August 2026
- D3-3away to Budapest Honved1 August 2026
- W3-0Zalaegerszegi TE27 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ujpest | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 18 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ujpest vs MTK Budapest
- 4 April 2026Ujpest 2–2 MTK BudapestNB I
- 13 December 2025MTK Budapest 3–4 UjpestNB I
- 30 August 2025Ujpest 1–2 MTK BudapestNB I
- 24 May 2025MTK Budapest 1–3 UjpestNB I
- 1 March 2025Ujpest 1–5 MTK BudapestNB I
Leading scorers: Ujpest and MTK Budapest
Ujpest
GoalsAssists
- A. Matko63
- E. Amenyido45
- G. Vlijter32
MTK Budapest
GoalsAssists
- G. Jurek71
- Zalán Márk Kerezsi43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ujpest and MTK Budapest drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for MTK Budapest at 51% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: G. Jurek 12' for MTK Budapest, M. Ljujic 38' for Ujpest.