Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA Moscow.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Dinamo Makhachkala, 28% draw, 33% CSKA Moscow — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Makhachkala at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow
Line-ups
- 39T. MagomedovG
- 13S. KagermazovD
- 24A. AlarcónD
- 99M. AlibekovD
- 23M. MakhamadjonovD
- 16H. MrezigueM
- 6M. ApshatsevM
- 47N. GlushkovM
- 52E. SmelovM
- 88D. LesovoyM
- 25G. AgalarovF
- 43I. AkhmedovD
- 21Abdulpasha DzhabrailovM
- 10M. HosseinnezhadM
- 33N. KarabashevG
- 8V. KhubulovM
- 9R. MagomedovM
- 11MiroF
- 28S. SerderovF
- 1D. VolkG
- 49V. ToropG
- 21M. AzziD
- 4João VictorD
- 79M. ZeaD
- 23Dzhamalutdin AbdulkadyrovD
- 3D. KrugovoyD
- 17K. GlebovM
- 10I. OblyakovM
- 31M. KislyakM
- 19I. OleynikovM
- 11T. MusaevF
- 20Matija PopovicM
- 7Matheus AlvesM
- 90M. LukinD
- 18D. KozlovM
- 37HenriqueM
- 32L. GondouF
- 62I. FirovF
- 61P. FilyushinD
- 39M. BoriskoG
Form going into Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
Premier League
- L2-3away to Akhmat13 September 2026
CSKA Moscow
Premier League
- D1-1Rubin12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 13 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow
- 21 March 2026CSKA Moscow 3–1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
- 26 November 2025CSKA Moscow 2–1 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup
- 8 November 2025Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 CSKA MoscowPremier League
- 5 November 2025Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 CSKA MoscowCup
- 29 March 2025CSKA Moscow 2–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
Leading scorers: Dinamo Makhachkala and CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
GoalsAssists
- G. Agalarov50
CSKA Moscow
GoalsAssists
- I. Oblyakov71
- I. Oleynikov34
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA Moscow won 3–1 at Dinamo Makhachkala. The model had leaned towards a win for Dinamo Makhachkala at 39% and given a win for CSKA Moscow 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Makhmud Makhamadzhonov (own goal) 13' for CSKA Moscow, Gamid Agalarov 20' for Dinamo Makhachkala, Luciano Gondou 69' for CSKA Moscow, Imran Firov 79' for CSKA Moscow.
How the call on Dinamo Makhachkala v CSKA Moscow has moved
First published on 3 Sep at 41% / 26% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 39% / 28% / 33%: the biggest move is Dinamo Makhachkala's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Dinamo Makhachkala win39%▼ −2
- Draw28%▲ +2
- CSKA Moscow win33%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.