13 September 2026, 16:30 UTC

FC Krasnodar vs Akron Premier League prediction & result

Ozon Arena, Krasnodar
Full time1 – 1

Final score: FC Krasnodar 1-1 Akron.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% FC Krasnodar, 26% draw, 27% Akron — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Krasnodar at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Krasnodar6%Draw90%Akron4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
⚽Konstantin Maradishviliassist: Vyacheslav Bardybakhin
•Joao Batxi
21'
36'
Dudu Rodrigues
Ilya Vakhania
37'
•Jhon Cordoba
44'
45+3'
•Rodrigo Escoval
🔁Ilya Vakhaniaout: Valentin Paltsev
45'
55'
Marat Bokoev
58'
🔁Dudu Rodriguesout: Kevin Arevalo
🔁Dmitriy Vorobyovout: Juan Manuel Boselli
60'
🔁Kevin Pinaout: Daniil Utkin
60'
61'
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin
71'
🔁Slobodan Tedićout: Artem Shumanskiy
71'
🔁Kristijan Bistrovićout: Khetag Khosonov
🔁Aleksandr Chernikovout: Magomed Ozdoev
73'
75'
Konstantin Maradishvili
77'
🔁Konstantin Maradishviliout: karlen hovhannisyan
83'
Vitaliy Gudiev
⚽Juan Manuel Boselli
87'
Valentin Paltsev
90+1'
90+3'
Artem Shumanskiy

Match stats — FC Krasnodar vs Akron

66%Possession34%
21Shots8
8On target4
8Corners1

Line-ups

FC Krasnodar 4-3-3
  • 1S. AgkatsevG
  • 40I. VakhaniaD
  • 3Vítor TormenaD
  • 5JubalD
  • 15L. OlazaD
  • 53A. ChernikovM
  • 8Douglas AugustoM
  • 6Kevin PinaM
  • 10D. VorobjevF
  • 9J. CórdobaF
  • 11BatxiF
Substitutes
  • 23J. BoselliF
  • 59A. KhmarinD
  • 16A. KoryakinG
  • 21M. OzdoevM
  • 17V. PaltsevD
  • 98S. PetrovD
  • 2M. RodríguezD
  • 47D. UtkinM
Coach: M. Musaev
Akron 4-3-3
  • 88V. GudievG
  • 13V. BardybakhinD
  • 26João EscovalD
  • 19M. BokoevD
  • 21R. FernándezD
  • 8K. BistrovićM
  • 15S. LončarM
  • 22K. MaradishviliM
  • 11DuduF
  • 9S. TedićF
  • 7Gilson BenchimolF
Substitutes
  • 6K. HovhannisyanM
  • 80K. KhosonovM
  • 89D. PopenkovM
  • 2Y. RochaD
  • 99A. ShumanskiyF
  • 32I. TerekhovskiyG
  • 69A. DmitrievF
  • 91M. BoldyrevM
  • 10Kevin ArevaloM
Coach: S. Blagojević

Form going into FC Krasnodar vs Akron

FC Krasnodar

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to Krylia Sovetov5 September 2026
  • W1-0FC Rostov29 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Dinamo Makhachkala23 August 2026
  • W1-0Akhmat15 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Spartak Moscow9 August 2026

Akron

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to FC Orenburg6 September 2026
  • D2-2CSKA Moscow28 August 2026
  • L0-3Krylia Sovetov23 August 2026
  • D3-3away to Rodina Moskva15 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Lokomotiv8 August 2026

What these results say

  • FC Krasnodar went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • FC Krasnodar scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Krasnodar won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Akron did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Akron conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Akron had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4FC Krasnodar126512014+623
12Akron122641521-612

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Krasnodar vs Akron

  • 3 May 2026Akron 0–1 FC KrasnodarPremier League
  • 13 September 2025FC Krasnodar 2–1 AkronPremier League
  • 5 April 2025FC Krasnodar 1–0 AkronPremier League
  • 21 September 2024Akron 2–5 FC KrasnodarPremier League
  • 3 May 2023Krasnodar 0–0 AkronCup

Leading scorers: FC Krasnodar and Akron

FC Krasnodar

GoalsAssists

  • Batxi43
  • J. Córdoba41

Akron

GoalsAssists

  • Gilson Benchimol42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Krasnodar and Akron drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Krasnodar at 47% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Konstantin Maradishvili 13' for Akron, Juan Manuel Boselli 87' for FC Krasnodar.

How the call on FC Krasnodar v Akron has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 56% / 25% / 19% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 47% / 26% / 27%: the biggest move is FC Krasnodar's chance of winning, down 9 points.

  1. FC Krasnodar win47%▼ −9
  2. Draw26%▲ +1
  3. Akron win27%▲ +8

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.