Zlin vs Hradec Králové Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zlin 1-2 Hradec Králové.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Zlin, 29% draw, 33% Hradec Králové — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zlin at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zlin vs Hradec Králové
Line-ups
- 17S. DostálG
- 35O. KukučkaD
- 24J. ČernínD
- 39A. KřapkaD
- 22M. FukalaD
- 23M. KopečnýM
- 5K. PenkevicsM
- 8D. MachalíkM
- 82M. PišojaM
- 3Jiří ŠtefanM
- 9D. ŠmigaF
- 4T. UlbrichM
- 31L. BartošákD
- 26M. CupákM
- 11A. GažiM
- 21D. GrygeraD
- 14S. KanuF
- 34M. KnoblochG
- 45Prince Mbatshi MukubaD
- 10S. PetrutaM
- 12A. ZadražilG
- 2D. LudvíčekD
- 7J. UhrinčaťD
- 5F. ČihákD
- 25F. ČechD
- 27D. TrubačD
- 10M. van BurenM
- 16V. DaridaM
- 11S. DancákM
- 19T. SlončíkM
- 70T. ČvančaraF
- 58A. VlkanovaM
- 1P. VízekG
- 9M. ValentaM
- 20M. VágnerG
- 24A. UmarF
- 6Elione NetoM
- 3F. MielkeD
- 30J. ChvátalM
- 33Rodrigo AbajasD
Form going into Zlin vs Hradec Králové
Zlin
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Teplice6 September 2026
- L2-3away to Zbrojovka Brno29 August 2026
- L0-1Slovan Liberec22 August 2026
- L2-3away to Plzen15 August 2026
- L0-2Bohemians 19058 August 2026
Hradec Králové
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Plzen9 September 2026
- W2-1Sparta Praha6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Zbrojovka Brno2 September 2026
- L0-2away to Slovan Liberec30 August 2026
- L1-2Panathinaikos27 August 2026
What these results say
- Zlin did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Zlin conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Hradec Králové failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hradec Králové conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Zlin | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 2 |
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zlin vs Hradec Králové
- 21 February 2026Hradec Králové 0–0 ZlinCzech Liga
- 20 September 2025Zlin 1–2 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 16 December 2023Zlin 4–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 20 August 2023Hradec Králové 2–0 ZlinCzech Liga
- 11 March 2023Zlin 2–2 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
The result against the call
Hradec Králové won 2–1 at Zlin. The model had leaned towards a win for Zlin at 38% and given a win for Hradec Králové 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: David Machalík 8' for Zlin, Tomáš Čvančara 45+1' for Hradec Králové, Tom Sloncik 46' for Hradec Králové.
How the call on Zlin v Hradec Králové has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 34% / 31% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 38% / 29% / 33%: the biggest move is Zlin's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Zlin win38%▲ +4
- Draw29%▼ −2
- Hradec Králové win33%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.