Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Austria Vienna 2-1 Austria Lustenau.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Austria Vienna, 29% draw, 31% Austria Lustenau — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Austria Vienna at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau
Line-ups
- 1S. Şahin-RadlingerG
- 26R. RanftlD
- 15A. DragovićD
- 46J. HandlD
- 40Daniel NnodimM
- 5V. MüllerM
- 6Philipp MaybachM
- 17Lee Tae-SeokM
- 30M. FischerM
- 7V. MarkovicM
- 19J. EggesteinF
- 22F. WustingerM
- 10S. SaljicM
- 14K. BoatengF
- 3I. BuhariD
- 74H. DeshihskuF
- 20J. HettwerF
- 99M. KosG
- 16Lee Kang-HeeM
- 21Matteo SchablasM
- 27D. SchierlG
- 21AnilsonD
- 15E. ChukwuD
- 29N. PertlwieserD
- 3Danilo SoaresD
- 8D. KacuriM
- 11D. WeixelbraunM
- 20L. AfrifaM
- 17A. GashiM
- 24S. DiarraM
- 39A. VerinacF
- 14P. BenjaminF
- 30P. BöhmG
- 19S. DelayeM
- 18R. VoisineD
- 7F. GmeinerD
- 26L. IbertsbergerD
- 61H. IsmailcebiogluM
- 9L. JastremskiF
- 31M. MaakD
Form going into Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau
Austria Vienna
All competitions we cover
- L0-1WSG Wattens2 September 2026
- L1-4away to Red Bull Salzburg30 August 2026
- D0-0SC Braga27 August 2026
- L0-2away to SC Braga20 August 2026
- W2-0away to TSV Hartberg16 August 2026
Austria Lustenau
All competitions we cover
- L0-4WSG Wattens28 August 2026
- D1-1away to Sturm Graz22 August 2026
- W2-1Wolfsberger AC15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Grazer AK8 August 2026
- D1-1Ried2 August 2026
What these results say
- Austria Vienna failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Austria Vienna had two goals or fewer.
- Austria Lustenau conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Austria Lustenau failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Austria Lustenau scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Austria Vienna | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 7 |
| 10 | Austria Lustenau | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau
- 3 May 2024Austria Lustenau 2–0 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 6 April 2024Austria Vienna 1–1 Austria LustenauBundesliga
- 4 November 2023Austria Vienna 1–0 Austria LustenauBundesliga
- 6 August 2023Austria Lustenau 0–2 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 11 June 2023Austria Vienna 5–0 Austria LustenauBundesliga
Leading scorers: Austria Vienna and Austria Lustenau
Austria Vienna
GoalsAssists
- J. Eggestein30
Austria Lustenau
GoalsAssists
- D. Weixelbraun61
- A. Verinac32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Austria Vienna beat Austria Lustenau 2–1. The model had made a win for Austria Vienna its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Dominik Weixelbraun 47' for Austria Lustenau, Julian Hettwer 81' for Austria Vienna, Kelvin Owusu Boateng 90+2' for Austria Vienna.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.