Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Akhmat 3-2 Dinamo Makhachkala.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Akhmat, 29% draw, 30% Dinamo Makhachkala — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Akhmat at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala
Line-ups
- 1V. UlyanovG
- 95A. AdamovD
- 6K. SidibéD
- 5K. CakeD
- 8M. BogosavacD
- 18Júlio RomãoM
- 11Ismael Silva LimaM
- 20M. SamorodovM
- 17Egas CacinturaM
- 10K. ShchetininM
- 13M. KonatéF
- 88G. SheliaG
- 90O. NdongD
- 19S. PryakhinM
- 70A. GadzhievM
- 97A. KasadzhikovF
- 42Manuel KelianoM
- 23G. KenzhebekM
- 76E. MaksutiF
- 77G. MelkadzeF
- 39T. MagomedovG
- 77T. SundukovD
- 24A. AlarcónD
- 99M. AlibekovD
- 23M. MakhamadjonovD
- 6M. ApshatsevM
- 21Abdulpasha DzhabrailovM
- 47N. GlushkovM
- 16H. MrezigueM
- 88D. LesovoyM
- 25G. AgalarovF
- 19K. ZinovichM
- 1D. VolkG
- 52E. SmelovM
- 11MiroF
- 8V. KhubulovM
- 13S. KagermazovD
- 10M. HosseinnezhadM
- 43I. AkhmedovD
- 30D. AleksandrovM
Form going into Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala
Akhmat
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Rubin7 September 2026
- D3-3Krylia Sovetov29 August 2026
- W4-1FC Rostov22 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Krasnodar15 August 2026
- D0-0away to Fakel10 August 2026
Dinamo Makhachkala
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Rodina Moskva6 September 2026
- L1-3away to Rubin30 August 2026
- L0-1FC Krasnodar23 August 2026
- W4-1away to Krylia Sovetov16 August 2026
- L1-3away to Dynamo9 August 2026
What these results say
- Akhmat failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Akhmat conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Makhachkala scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Makhachkala conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Akhmat | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala
- 10 May 2026Akhmat 1–1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
- 3 August 2025Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 AkhmatPremier League
- 18 May 2025Akhmat 1–1 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
- 16 February 2025Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 AkhmatFriendlies Clubs
- 9 September 2024Akhmat 2–2 Dinamo MakhachkalaFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Akhmat and Dinamo Makhachkala
Akhmat
GoalsAssists
- L. Sadulaev33
Dinamo Makhachkala
GoalsAssists
- G. Agalarov50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Akhmat beat Dinamo Makhachkala 3–2. The model had made a win for Akhmat its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Gamid Agalarov 48' for Dinamo Makhachkala, Kalidou Sidibe 58' for Akhmat, Temirkan Sundukov 64' for Dinamo Makhachkala, Andres Alarcon (own goal) 66' for Akhmat, Manuel Keliano 85' for Akhmat. Sent off: Temirkan Sundukov (Dinamo Makhachkala) 90+5'.
How the call on Akhmat v Dinamo Makhachkala has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 46% / 25% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 41% / 29% / 30%: the biggest move is Akhmat's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- Akhmat win41%▼ −5
- Draw29%▲ +4
- Dinamo Makhachkala win30%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.