FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: FC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% FC Cincinnati, 19% draw, 34% New York City FC — fair odds of 2.13, 5.26 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
FC Cincinnati at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 18Roman CelentanoG
- 12Miles RobinsonD
- 21Matt MiazgaD
- 24Kyle SmithD
- 20Pavel BuchaM
- 17Kenji Mboma DemM
- 5Obinna NwobodoM
- 22Gerardo ValenzuelaM
- 66Ender EcheniqueM
- 9Kévin DenkeyF
- 10EvanderF
- 15Teenage HadebeD
- 29Bryan RamirezD
- 11Samuel GidiM
- 16Tom BarlowF
- 27Tah AnungaM
- 13Evan LouroG
- 4Nick HagglundD
- 2Alvas PowellD
- 99Ayoub JabbariF
- 49Matthew FreeseG
- 24Tayvon GrayD
- 6James SandsD
- 34Raul GustavoD
- 22Kevin O'TooleD
- 55Keaton ParksM
- 8Andrés PereaM
- 26Agustin OjedaM
- 7Nicolás FernándezM
- 9Bénie TraoréM
- 20Luighi HanriF
- 99Seymour Garfield-ReidF
- 88Malachi JonesF
- 2Nico CavalloD
- 32Jonathan ShoreM
- 11Talles MagnoF
- 30Tomás RomeroG
- 23Max MurrayD
- 35Mitja IleničD
- 15Kevin PierreM
Form going into FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Orlando City SC15 August 2026
- W4-2San Jose Earthquakes1 August 2026
- L1-2away to Columbus Crew25 July 2026
- W4-3Vancouver Whitecaps22 July 2026
New York City FC
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Philadelphia Union16 August 2026
- D1-1Toronto FC31 July 2026
- W3-1Chicago Fire25 July 2026
- W2-1away to Columbus Crew22 July 2026
What these results say
- FC Cincinnati scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- FC Cincinnati conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for FC Cincinnati.
- New York City FC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- New York City FC conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for New York City FC.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC
- 22 April 2026New York City FC 4–4 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- 23 August 2025FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- 4 May 2025New York City FC 1–0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- 9 November 2024FC Cincinnati 0–0 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- 2 November 2024New York City FC 3–1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: FC Cincinnati and New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
GoalsAssists
- K. Denkey173
New York City FC
GoalsAssists
- N. Fernández Mercau166
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Cincinnati beat New York City FC 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FC Cincinnati at 47%. The goals: K. Mboma 11' for FC Cincinnati, Luighi 21' for New York City FC, Evander 90+1' for FC Cincinnati. On expected goals it finished 1.19–1.67.