Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Columbus Crew 1-2 CF Montreal.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Columbus Crew, 23% draw, 18% CF Montreal — fair odds of 1.69, 4.35 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Columbus Crew at 59%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 28Patrick SchulteG
- 31Steven MoreiraD
- 4Rudy CamachoD
- 25Sean ZawadzkiD
- 18Malte AmundsenD
- 23Mohamed FarsiM
- 7Dylan ChambostM
- 20André GomesM
- 16Taha HabrouneM
- 46Chase AdamsF
- 10Brais MéndezF
- 12Cesar RuvalcabaD
- 2Andres HerreraD
- 77Josef MartínezF
- 50Tarun KarumanchiM
- 8Dániel GazdagM
- 1Nicholas HagenG
- 11Brooks LennonD
- 26Lautaro GiacconeM
- 14Amar SejdicM
- 31Thomas GillierG
- 27Dawid BugajD
- 2Jalen NealD
- 4Brayan VeraD
- 13Luca PetrassoD
- 7Daniel PereiraM
- 8Matthew LongstaffM
- 21Fabian HerbersM
- 18Hennadii SynchukF
- 9Prince OwusuF
- 23Noah StreitF
- 22Victor LoturiM
- 5Brandan CraigD
- 3Brayan CeballosD
- 10Alexis SánchezF
- 14Daniel RiosF
- 1Sebastian BrezaG
- 29Olger EscobarF
- 6Samuel PietteM
- 35Owen Graham-RoacheF
Form going into Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Charlotte15 August 2026
- D2-2away to Inter Miami1 August 2026
- W2-1FC Cincinnati25 July 2026
- L1-2New York City FC22 July 2026
CF Montreal
All competitions we cover
- D1-1DC United15 August 2026
- D2-2New England Revolution1 August 2026
- L0-1Inter Miami25 July 2026
- L0-1away to Nashville SC23 July 2026
What these results say
- Columbus Crew scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Columbus Crew conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Columbus Crew had three goals or more.
- CF Montreal did not win any of these 4 matches.
- CF Montreal conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for CF Montreal had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal
- 14 May 2025CF Montreal 1–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 5 April 2025Columbus Crew 2–1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- 15 May 2024CF Montreal 1–3 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 27 April 2024Columbus Crew 0–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- 22 October 2023Columbus Crew 2–1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Columbus Crew and CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 59 league goals as a side.
CF Montreal
GoalsAssists
- P. Owusu156
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CF Montreal won 2–1 at Columbus Crew. The model had leaned towards a win for Columbus Crew at 59% and given a win for CF Montreal 18%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: P. Owusu 5' for CF Montreal, T. Gillier (own goal) 20' for Columbus Crew, N. Streit 78' for CF Montreal. On expected goals it finished 0.30–1.16.