Relegation Group - 34 · 1 November 2026, 07:30 UTC

FC Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995 K League 1 prediction

Anyang Stadium, Anyang

Our model says: FC Anyang 1–0 Bucheon FC 1995

The model makes it 43% FC Anyang, 28% draw, 29% Bucheon FC 1995 — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: FC Anyang 1.53, Bucheon FC 1995 1.16.

Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 45% of the time, over 2,296 settled matches.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 26 October 2026. FC Anyang's rating is built from 71 K League 1 matches and Bucheon FC 1995's from 35, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 662 matches.

Key facts

  • FC Anyang are 8th on 43 points from 33 games; Bucheon FC 1995 are 11th on 32 points from 33 games — K League 1.
  • FC Anyang are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 won), most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Jeonbuk Motors.
  • Bucheon FC 1995 have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat at home to Gwangju FC.
  • Last 6 meetings: FC Anyang 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 29 August 2026, ended Bucheon FC 1995 1–1 FC Anyang.

More K League 1 predictions

All K League 1 predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: FC Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995

54%
Both teams to score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

FC Anyang win Draw Bucheon FC 1995 win
  1. 1–113%
  2. 1–010%
  3. 2–19%
  4. 2–08%
  5. 0–07%
  6. 0–17%
  7. 1–27%

Scores read FC Anyang first. Each bar is the model's probability of that exact result, drawn against the likeliest one; the other scorelines it considered share the remaining 38%.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Anyang at 43% here. Across 4,942 settled matches (as of 26 October 2026), 2,300 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into FC Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995

FC Anyang

K League 1

  • D1-1Jeonbuk Motors24 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Pohang Steelers18 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC10 October 2026
  • W2-1Ulsan Hyundai FC19 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Gwangju FC13 September 2026

Bucheon FC 1995

K League 1

  • L0-3Gwangju FC24 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Ulsan Hyundai FC17 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Gangwon FC9 October 2026
  • L0-2Gimcheon Sangmu FC19 September 2026
  • D2-2Jeju United FC12 September 2026

What these results say

  • FC Anyang went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • FC Anyang scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for FC Anyang had two goals or fewer.
  • Bucheon FC 1995 did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Bucheon FC 1995 conceded in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8FC Anyang331013104048-843
11Bucheon FC 199533711153247-1532

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995

  • 29 August 2026Bucheon FC 1995 1–1 FC AnyangK League 1
  • 22 July 2026Bucheon FC 1995 2–3 FC AnyangK League 1
  • 2 May 2026FC Anyang 0–1 Bucheon FC 1995K League 1
  • 2 November 2024Bucheon FC 1995 0–0 FC AnyangK League 2
  • 30 June 2024Bucheon FC 1995 1–2 FC AnyangK League 2
  • 10 April 2024FC Anyang 3–0 Bucheon FC 1995K League 2

Leading scorers: FC Anyang and Bucheon FC 1995

FC Anyang

GoalsAssists

  • Airton50
  • Matheus Oliveira43

Bucheon FC 1995

GoalsAssists

  • Jefferson Galego41

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Two sides the ratings cannot separate

FC Anyang carry a model rating of 6.37 against 6.29 for Bucheon FC 1995. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.

What the model expects

Under the hood the model expects 1.53 goals for FC Anyang and 1.16 for Bucheon FC 1995. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

FC Anyang rate 0.63 in attack and 1.63 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Bucheon FC 1995 rate 0.56 and 1.71.

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 2,376 correct results out of 4,950 settled predictions (48%), with 492 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FC Anyang the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.53 expected goals for FC Anyang against 1.16 for Bucheon FC 1995. FC Anyang's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.63 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/1.71 for Bucheon FC 1995.

How the model reaches 43% for FC Anyang to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for FC Anyang to win. Then home advantage adds 3 points, FC Anyang's ratings take away 21 points and Bucheon FC 1995's ratings add 25 points, which lands on the published 43%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage39%+3
  3. FC Anyang's ratings18%−21
  4. Bucheon FC 1995's ratings43%+25

Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.

Season stats

FC AnyangBucheon FC 1995
33Matches33
10W 13D 10LRecord7W 11D 15L
40 1.2 per gameGoals scored32 1.0 per game
48 1.5 per gameGoals conceded47 1.4 per game
5 of 33Clean sheets9 of 33
7 of 33Failed to score14 of 33
5 of 7Penalties scored2 of 3
64 1.9 per gameYellow cards71 2.2 per game
4Red cards4
4-3-3 20×Usual shape3-4-3 25×

FC Anyang at home · Bucheon FC 1995 away

16Played15
4W 6D 6LRecord4W 4D 7L
18–28Goals for – against14–18
0 of 16Clean sheets4 of 15

League matches only, K League 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All K League 1 matches this season: FC Anyang 33, Bucheon FC 1995 33.

FC Anyang scored 667868
Bucheon FC 1995 conceded 371011712
Bucheon FC 1995 scored 433685
FC Anyang conceded 52811119

Bucheon FC 1995 score most often in the 61–75 minute window (8 goals); FC Anyang have let in 11 there.

Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

FC Anyang

Bucheon FC 1995

Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.