Premiership · Regular Season - 1 · 1 August 2026, 14:00 UTC

Falkirk vs St Mirren

Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk

The model makes it 19% Falkirk, 27% draw, 54% St Mirren — fair odds of 5.26, 3.70 and 1.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (14%).

Expected goals: Falkirk 0.83, St Mirren 1.56.

Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%, under 2.5: 57%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

45%
Both teams to score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines0-1 14%1-1 12%0-2 11%

Head-to-head: Falkirk vs St Mirren

  • 21 March 2026Falkirk 1–2 St MirrenPremiership
  • 10 January 2026St Mirren 0–2 FalkirkPremiership
  • 13 September 2025Falkirk 1–2 St MirrenPremiership
  • 28 April 2018Falkirk 1–0 St MirrenChampionship
  • 17 April 2018St Mirren 1–2 FalkirkChampionship
  • 21 October 2017Falkirk 0–0 St MirrenChampionship
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives St Mirren the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.83 expected goals for Falkirk against 1.56 for St Mirren. Falkirk's attack/defence rating is 0.48/2.1 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/0.92 for St Mirren.