Hibernian
vs
Motherwell
The model makes it 40% Hibernian, 26% draw, 34% Motherwell — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Hibernian 1.52, Motherwell 1.37.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Hibernian vs Motherwell
- 16 May 2026Hibernian 0–1 MotherwellPremiership
- 21 March 2026Motherwell 0–0 HibernianPremiership
- 10 January 2026Hibernian 1–1 MotherwellPremiership
- 25 November 2025Motherwell 2–0 HibernianPremiership
- 11 January 2025Hibernian 3–1 MotherwellPremiership
- 30 November 2024Motherwell 0–3 HibernianPremiership
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hibernian the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.52 expected goals for Hibernian against 1.37 for Motherwell. Hibernian's attack/defence rating is 0.38/2 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.49/2.12 for Motherwell.