Dundee United vs Rangers Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Dundee United 1-1 Rangers.
Before kick-off the model made it 58% Dundee United, 19% draw, 23% Rangers — fair odds of 1.72, 5.26 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dundee United at 58% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dundee United vs Rangers
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Jack James WaltonG
- 23Joshua RawlinsD
- 3Bert EsselinkD
- 18Michael ForbesD
- 11William FerryD
- 5Vicko ŠeveljM
- 10Dylan TaitM
- 12Emmanuel AgyeiM
- 21Jesse RandallF
- 15Lachlan RoseF
- 9Zachary SapsfordF
- 4Iurie IovuD
- 77Daniel BennieF
- 8Panutche CamaráM
- 93Idjessi MetsokoF
- 30Jordan AmissahG
- 6Ross GrahamD
- 7Mehdi MerghemF
- 14Julius EskesenM
- 20Neil FarrugiaF
- 1Ivor PandurG
- 21Dujon SterlingD
- 4Ben GodfreyD
- 37Emmanuel FernandezD
- 25Tuur RommensD
- 10Mohammed DiomandeM
- 14Cameron DevlinM
- 20Ryan Don NaderiM
- 11Thelo AasgaardM
- 23Djeidi GassamaM
- 7Lawrence ShanklandF
- 6Dan NeilM
- 9Youssef ChermitiF
- 2Ross McCrorieD
- 52Findlay CurtisM
- 31Liam KellyG
- 24Olwethu MakhanyaD
- 22Vanja DragojevićM
- 42Tochi ChukwuaniM
- 28Bojan MiovskiF
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dundee United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dundee United vs Rangers
- 4 April 2026Rangers 4–2 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 3 December 2025Dundee United 2–2 RangersPremiership
- 18 October 2025Rangers 2–2 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 14 May 2025Rangers 3–1 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 26 January 2025Dundee United 1–3 RangersPremiership
- 23 November 2024Rangers 1–1 Dundee UnitedPremiership
Leading scorers: Dundee United and Rangers
Dundee United
GoalsAssists
- Z. Sapsford30
Rangers
GoalsAssists
- R. Naderi53
- K. Kelsy40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dundee United and Rangers drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Dundee United at 58% and given a draw 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Lachlan Rose 38' for Dundee United, Thelo Aasgaard 56' for Rangers. On expected goals it finished 1.59–1.43.