Super League · Regular Season - 2 · 1 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys

Stockhorn Arena, Thun

The model makes it 22% FC Thun, 18% draw, 60% BSC Young Boys — fair odds of 4.55, 5.56 and 1.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (7%).

Expected goals: FC Thun 1.75, BSC Young Boys 2.82.

Both teams to score: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%, under 2.5: 17%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

78%
Both teams to score
83%
Over 2.5 goals
17%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-2 7%1-3 7%2-2 6%

Head-to-head: FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys

  • 14 May 2026FC Thun 3–8 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 8 March 2026BSC Young Boys 1–2 FC ThunSuper League
  • 25 January 2026FC Thun 4–1 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 28 September 2025BSC Young Boys 4–2 FC ThunSuper League
  • 28 June 2024BSC Young Boys 0–2 FC ThunFriendlies Clubs
  • 15 July 2023BSC Young Boys 4–0 FC ThunFriendlies Clubs
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives BSC Young Boys the highest probability at 60%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.75 expected goals for FC Thun against 2.82 for BSC Young Boys. FC Thun's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.69 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.19/1.45 for BSC Young Boys.