Fakel vs FC Orenburg Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Fakel 0-0 FC Orenburg.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Fakel, 33% draw, 19% FC Orenburg — fair odds of 2.08, 3.03 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Russian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Fakel at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Fakel vs FC Orenburg
Line-ups
- 1Daniil FrolkinG
- 55Darko TodorovićD
- 5Albert GabaraevD
- 53Matvey BardachevD
- 44Yuriy ZhuravlevD
- 10Ilnur AlshinD
- 8Abdula BagamaevM
- 23Vyacheslav YakimovM
- 52Ravil NetfullinM
- 11Alexey SutorminM
- 9Axel GnapiF
- 99Nikolay GiorgobianiM
- 20Igor YurganovD
- 97Butta MagomedovM
- 19Belajdi PusiF
- 96Igor ObukhovG
- 35Vyacheslav DorovskikhG
- 22Houdaifa El MahasniD
- 17Anton KovalevM
- 18Kirill SimonovM
- 1Bogdan OvsyannikovG
- 24Maxime SivisD
- 6Jhon PalaciosD
- 5Aleksey TataevD
- 26Emil TsenovD
- 78Ruslan KulM
- 57Evgeniy BolotovM
- 8Damián PueblaM
- 11Egor NazarenkoM
- 20Dmitry RybchinskiyM
- 30Gedeon GuzinaF
- 77Andrey KasadzhikovF
- 7Jersson GonzálezF
- 19Alexandre JesusF
- 63Omar MinatulaevM
- 65Ivan IvashchenkoM
- 95Andrey KhodanovichG
- 2Stanislav PoroykovD
- 59Maksim SyshchenkoD
- 38Artem KasimovD
Form going into Fakel vs FC Orenburg
Fakel
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to CSKA Moscow15 August 2026
- D0-0Akhmat10 August 2026
FC Orenburg
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Lokomotiv14 August 2026
- D1-1away to Rubin9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Fakel | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Orenburg | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Fakel vs FC Orenburg
- 15 March 2025FC Orenburg 1–0 FakelPremier League
- 24 August 2024Fakel 1–0 FC OrenburgPremier League
- 31 March 2024Fakel Voronezh 0–0 OrenburgPremier League
- 21 October 2023Orenburg 1–2 Fakel VoronezhPremier League
- 21 September 2023Orenburg 0–0 Fakel VoronezhCup
- 29 August 2023Fakel Voronezh 0–1 OrenburgCup
Leading scorers: Fakel and FC Orenburg
Fakel
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
FC Orenburg
GoalsAssists
- J. Thompson42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Fakel and FC Orenburg drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Fakel at 48% and given a draw 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.