SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: SCR Altach 1-2 TSV Hartberg.
Before kick-off the model made it 73% SCR Altach, 17% draw, 10% TSV Hartberg — fair odds of 1.37, 5.88 and 10.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
SCR Altach at 73%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Dejan StojanovićG
- 27Filip MilojevicD
- 23Benedikt ZechD
- 17Lukas JägerD
- 29Niklas NiehoffM
- 6Vesel DemakuM
- 8Mike-Steven BähreM
- 37Benjamin BöckleM
- 19Srđan HrstićF
- 10Ousmane DiawaraF
- 18Patrick GreilF
- 9Marko RagužF
- 20Erkin YalcinF
- 31Daniel AntoschG
- 4Henrique BellD
- 16Rassa RahmaniD
- 21Jakob BrandtnerD
- 24Salif TietiettaM
- 34Adrian VonbrulM
- 7Denizcan CosgunM
- 91Ármin PécsiG
- 7Angelo GattermayerD
- 18Fabian WilfingerD
- 27Konstantin SchoppD
- 14Paul KomposchD
- 6Habib Anas CoulibalyD
- 23Tobias KainzM
- 5Youba DiarraM
- 4Benjamin MarkušM
- 22Marco HoffmannF
- 10Oliver LukićF
- 16Magnus DalpiazD
- 95Nikolaus FeldhoferM
- 21Luka MarićG
- 19Lukas SpendlhoferD
- 28Florian GerstlM
- 17Jonas KarnerM
- 77David KorherrF
- 11Jed DrewF
- 70Chilohem OnuohaF
Form going into SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Sturm Graz15 August 2026
- W3-1WSG Wattens7 August 2026
- L0-1away to Rapid Vienna2 August 2026
TSV Hartberg
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Austria Vienna16 August 2026
- L0-2Sturm Graz8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Red Bull Salzburg1 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SCR Altach | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 10 |
| 4 | TSV Hartberg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | +4 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg
- 14 February 2026TSV Hartberg 0–0 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 25 October 2025SCR Altach 2–2 TSV HartbergBundesliga
- 4 May 2025TSV Hartberg 2–0 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 19 April 2025SCR Altach 1–1 TSV HartbergBundesliga
- 23 February 2025SCR Altach 0–0 TSV HartbergBundesliga
Leading scorers: SCR Altach and TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
TSV Hartberg
GoalsAssists
- C. Hoffmann61
- M. Hoffman40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
TSV Hartberg won 2–1 at SCR Altach. The model had leaned towards a win for SCR Altach at 73% and given a win for TSV Hartberg 10%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 10 matches like this one. The goals: A. Gattermayer 16' for TSV Hartberg, O. Diawara 53' for SCR Altach, B. Markus 90+3' for TSV Hartberg. On expected goals it finished 1.72–1.05.