SCR Altach
vs
TSV Hartberg
Bundesliga prediction
The model makes it 60% SCR Altach, 22% draw, 18% TSV Hartberg — fair odds of 1.67, 4.55 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: SCR Altach 2.01, TSV Hartberg 1.03.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
SCR Altach
- W3-1WSG Wattens7 August 2026
- L0-1away to Rapid Vienna2 August 2026
TSV Hartberg
- L0-2Sturm Graz8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Red Bull Salzburg1 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SCR Altach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | TSV Hartberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
SCR Altach
- P. Greil1 goals
- Y. Massombo1 goals
TSV Hartberg
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
SCR Altach carry a model rating of 6.39 against 6.21 for TSV Hartberg. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): SCR Altach L-W; TSV Hartberg L-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.01 goals for SCR Altach and 1.03 for TSV Hartberg. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
SCR Altach rate 0.65 in attack and 1.64 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; TSV Hartberg rate 0.45 and 1.64.
That points to 59% for over two and a half goals and 56% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives SCR Altach the highest probability at 60%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.01 expected goals for SCR Altach against 1.03 for TSV Hartberg. SCR Altach's attack/defence rating is 0.65/1.64 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.45/1.64 for TSV Hartberg.