Akhmat vs FC Rostov Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Akhmat 4-1 FC Rostov.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Akhmat, 30% draw, 21% FC Rostov — fair odds of 2.04, 3.33 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Russian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Akhmat at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Akhmat vs FC Rostov
Line-ups
- 1Vadim UlyanovG
- 95Arsen AdamovD
- 4Turpal-Ali IbishevD
- 90Ousmane N’DongD
- 5Klisman CakeD
- 8Miroslav BogosavacD
- 17Egas CacinturaM
- 42Manuel KelianoM
- 11Ismael SilvaM
- 7Lechi SadulaevM
- 77Georgiy MelkadzeF
- 81Maksim SidorovD
- 10Kirill ShchetininM
- 71Rasul MitsaevG
- 88Giorgi SheliaG
- 87Akhmed ElberdovM
- 23Galymzhan KenzhebekM
- 6Kalidou SidibéM
- 97Aleksey KasadzhikovF
- 70Abakar GadzhievM
- 1Rustam YatimovG
- 4Viktor MelekhinD
- 3Oumar SakoD
- 40Ygor NogueiraD
- 87Andrey LangovichD
- 5Yaroslav MikhailovM
- 8Aleksey MironovM
- 10Ivan KomarovM
- 18Konstantin KuchaevM
- 6Olakunle OlusegunM
- 99Timur SuleymanovF
- 34Daniil GolikovG
- 84Artem PetrovG
- 22David SemenchukD
- 59Nikita BabakinD
- 27Danila ProkhinD
- 21Daniil ShantaliyM
- 17Egor GolenkovF
- 73Imran AznaurovF
- 91Anton ShamoninF
Form going into Akhmat vs FC Rostov
Akhmat
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to FC Krasnodar15 August 2026
- D0-0away to Fakel10 August 2026
FC Rostov
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Rubin15 August 2026
- D0-0away to CSKA Moscow8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Akhmat | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Rostov | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Akhmat vs FC Rostov
- 21 March 2026Akhmat 1–0 FC RostovPremier League
- 30 August 2025FC Rostov 1–1 AkhmatPremier League
- 12 April 2025Akhmat 2–1 FC RostovPremier League
- 26 October 2024FC Rostov 2–3 AkhmatPremier League
- 9 December 2023Akhmat Grozny 0–0 FC RostovPremier League
- 22 October 2023FC Rostov 3–0 Akhmat GroznyPremier League
Leading scorers: Akhmat and FC Rostov
Akhmat
GoalsAssists
- L. Sadulaev33
FC Rostov
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Akhmat beat FC Rostov 4–1. The model had made a win for Akhmat its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: G. Melkadze 5' for Akhmat, T. Suleymanov 40' for FC Rostov, G. Melkadze 59' for Akhmat, T. Ibishev 68' for Akhmat, L. Sadulaev 78' for Akhmat.