CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Premier League prediction & result
Final score: CSKA Moscow 3-2 Lokomotiv.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% CSKA Moscow, 23% draw, 15% Lokomotiv — fair odds of 1.61, 4.35 and 6.67.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
CSKA Moscow at 62%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv
Line-ups
- 49V. ToropG
- 22M. GajicD
- 4Joao VictorD
- 79K. DanilovD
- 3D. KrugovoyD
- 20M. PopovicM
- 31M. KislyakM
- 10I. OblyakovM
- 17K. GlebovM
- 32L. GondouF
- 7Matheus AlvesF
- 99N. BarovskiyG
- 39M. BoriskoG
- 90M. LukinD
- 2Matheus ReisD
- 23D. AbdulkadyrovD
- 84A. VakulichM
- 6D. BarinovM
- 18D. KozlovM
- 52A. BandikyanM
- 1A. MitryushkinG
- 45A. SilyanovD
- 5G. NyamsiD
- 23C. MontesD
- 3Lucas FassonD
- 75I. EremeevM
- 6S. BabkinM
- 7Z. BakaevM
- 8A. KovalenkoM
- 19A. RudenkoM
- 99R. MyalkovskiyF
- 22I. LantratovG
- 16D. VeselovG
- 14G. DzhikiyaD
- 24M. NenakhovD
- 59E. PogostnovD
- 88M. ShchetininM
- 47D. GodyaevM
- 74D. ChevardinD
- 9S. PinyaevM
Form going into CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Fakel15 August 2026
- D0-0FC Rostov8 August 2026
Lokomotiv
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to FC Orenburg14 August 2026
- D0-0Akron8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 16 | +7 | 26 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv
- 4 August 2026Lokomotiv 1–1 CSKA MoscowCup
- 14 July 2026Lokomotiv 1–0 CSKA MoscowFriendlies Clubs
- 17 May 2026CSKA Moscow 3–1 LokomotivPremier League
- 21 February 2026CSKA Moscow 3–2 LokomotivFriendlies Clubs
- 18 October 2025Lokomotiv 3–0 CSKA MoscowPremier League
- 1 October 2025Lokomotiv 0–0 CSKA MoscowCup
Leading scorers: CSKA Moscow and Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
GoalsAssists
- I. Oblyakov71
- I. Oleynikov34
- K. Glebov31
Lokomotiv
GoalsAssists
- N. Titkov31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA Moscow beat Lokomotiv 3–2. The model had made a win for CSKA Moscow its most likely outcome, at 62%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Silyanov 22' for Lokomotiv, L. Gondou 29' for CSKA Moscow, K. Danilov 50' for CSKA Moscow, Matheus Alves 68' for CSKA Moscow, S. Pinyaev 75' for Lokomotiv.