Everton vs Ipswich Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Everton 1-0 Ipswich.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Everton, 30% draw, 30% Ipswich — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Everton at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Everton vs Ipswich
Line-ups
- 1J. PickfordG
- 2A. Maitland-NilesD
- 6J. TarkowskiD
- 4J. BranthwaiteD
- 16V. MykolenkoD
- 45H. ArmstrongM
- 37J. GarnerM
- 22B. JohnsonM
- 8K. Dewsbury-HallM
- 10J. GrealishM
- 11T. BarryF
- 58B. GrahamF
- 19Tyrique GeorgeF
- 30H. HackneyM
- 24C. AlcarazM
- 20T. DiblingF
- 15J. O'BrienD
- 5M. KeaneD
- 31T. KingG
- 12M. TraversG
- 28C. WaltonG
- 42A. OuattaraD
- 6I. DiopD
- 26D. O'SheaD
- 3L. DavisD
- 23S. LukićM
- 25E. PalaciosM
- 7A. FatawuM
- 10J. EncisoM
- 47J. ClarkeM
- 19EmersonnF
- 9Z. FlemmingF
- 29C. AkpomF
- 38D. MaedaF
- 11J. PhilogeneF
- 32M. NúñezM
- 12FlorentinoM
- 2D. FurlongD
- 24J. GreavesD
- 37K. ScherpenG
Form going into Everton vs Ipswich
Everton
Premier League
- D0-0away to Tottenham12 September 2026
Ipswich
Premier League
- W3-2away to Crystal Palace12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Everton vs Ipswich
- 3 May 2025Everton 2–2 IpswichPremier League
- 19 October 2024Ipswich 0–2 EvertonPremier League
Leading scorers: Everton and Ipswich
Everton
GoalsAssists
- T. Barry30
Ipswich
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Everton beat Ipswich 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Everton at 40%. The goal: Thierno Barry 11' for Everton. Sent off: Abdul Fatawu Issahaku (Ipswich) 67'.
How the call on Everton v Ipswich has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 45% / 27% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 40% / 30% / 30%: the biggest move is Everton's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- Everton win40%▼ −5
- Draw30%▲ +3
- Ipswich win30%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.