Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 2 · 31 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź

Orlen Stadion

The model makes it 42% Wisla Plock, 29% draw, 29% Widzew Łódź — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: Wisla Plock 1.35, Widzew Łódź 1.08.

Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

50%
Both teams to score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 13%1-0 11%0-0 9%

Head-to-head: Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź

  • 14 February 2026Wisla Plock 0–2 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
  • 9 August 2025Widzew Łódź 1–1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
  • 5 September 2024Wisla Plock 0–3 Widzew ŁódźFriendlies Clubs
  • 16 July 2023Widzew Łódź 1–1 Wisla PlockFriendlies Clubs
  • 16 July 2023Wisla Plock 1–1 Widzew ŁódźFriendlies Clubs
  • 13 March 2023Wisla Plock 1–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Wisla Plock the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Wisla Plock against 1.08 for Widzew Łódź. Wisla Plock's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.29 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/0.99 for Widzew Łódź.