Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Wisla Plock 0-0 Widzew Łódź.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Wisla Plock, 29% draw, 30% Widzew Łódź — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wisla Plock at 41% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Rafał LeszczyńskiG
- 4Marcus Haglind SangreD
- 35Marcin KamińskiD
- 3Marcin FlisD
- 21Žan RogeljM
- 17Adam RadwańskiM
- 8Dani PachecoM
- 23Patryk KunM
- 11JimeF
- 7Olaf KobackiF
- 10Said HamulićF
- 19Dion GallapeniD
- 26Jakub BurekG
- 41Marcin WięckowskiD
- 5Marin KaramarkoD
- 88Kyriakos SavvidisM
- 18Jurica PrširM
- 16Fabian HiszpańskiM
- 6Krystian PomorskiM
- 91Gleb KuchkoM
- 1Bartłomiej DrągowskiG
- 91Marcel KrajewskiD
- 25Przemysław WiśniewskiD
- 3Steve KapuadiD
- 17Christopher ChengD
- 10Fran ÁlvarezM
- 6Juljan ShehuM
- 8Emil KornvigM
- 7Mariusz FornalczykM
- 28Karol ŚwiderskiF
- 99Sebastian BergierF
- 40Mario GarciaD
- 5Giannis PapanikolaouM
- 30Veljko IlićG
- 70Jusuf GazibegovićD
- 4Mateusz ŻyroD
- 14Ricardo VisusD
- 57Samuel AkereM
- 18Lindon SelahiM
- 77Ángel BaenaM
Form going into Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź
Wisla Plock
- W2-1away to Raków Częstochowa26 July 2026
Widzew Łódź
- D2-2Motor Lublin26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Widzew Łódź | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź
- 14 February 2026Wisla Plock 0–2 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 9 August 2025Widzew Łódź 1–1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
- 5 September 2024Wisla Plock 0–3 Widzew ŁódźFriendlies Clubs
- 16 July 2023Widzew Łódź 1–1 Wisla PlockFriendlies Clubs
- 16 July 2023Wisla Plock 1–1 Widzew ŁódźFriendlies Clubs
- 13 March 2023Wisla Plock 1–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Wisla Plock and Widzew Łódź
Wisla Plock
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Widzew Łódź
- M. Fornalczyk2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.