Czech Liga · Regular Season - 2 · 31 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Sparta Praha vs Zlin

epet ARENA, Prague

The model makes it 56% Sparta Praha, 26% draw, 18% Zlin — fair odds of 1.79, 3.85 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (13%).

Expected goals: Sparta Praha 1.63, Zlin 0.83.

Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%, under 2.5: 55%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

46%
Both teams to score
45%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-0 13%1-1 12%2-0 11%

Head-to-head: Sparta Praha vs Zlin

  • 8 February 2026Zlin 0–3 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga
  • 31 August 2025Sparta Praha 3–1 ZlinCzech Liga
  • 26 November 2023Sparta Praha 2–0 ZlinCzech Liga
  • 29 July 2023Zlin 0–1 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga
  • 25 February 2023Zlin 2–3 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga
  • 3 September 2022Sparta Praha 0–0 ZlinCzech Liga
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Sparta Praha the highest probability at 56%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.63 expected goals for Sparta Praha against 0.83 for Zlin. Sparta Praha's attack/defence rating is 0.67/0.93 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.29 for Zlin.