Aberdeen vs Rangers Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Aberdeen 0-1 Rangers.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Aberdeen, 28% draw, 32% Rangers — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Aberdeen at 40% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Aberdeen vs Rangers
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 27M. MullerG
- 28C. CaddenD
- 23L. MayoD
- 26D. HappeD
- 24N. Guinness-WalkerD
- 25C. RonanM
- 32A. AremuM
- 31M. NteloM
- 20T. OlusanyaM
- 7T. YoganeM
- 15K. NisbetF
- 13N. SumanG
- 5M. KnoesterD
- 22J. MilneD
- 17S. ArmstrongM
- 11L. SmithF
- 21G. MolloyD
- 10A. BriedlM
- 9A. MoulouaF
- 53A. FasanyaF
- 1I. PandurG
- 21D. SterlingD
- 37E. FernandezD
- 24O. MakhanyaD
- 29J. PenriceD
- 14C. DevlinM
- 6D. NeilM
- 52F. CurtisM
- 10M. KimM
- 23D. GassamaM
- 7L. ShanklandF
- 31L. KellyG
- 4B. GodfreyD
- 18K. NedeljkovicD
- 11T. AasgaardM
- 22V. DragojevicM
- 8C. BarronM
- 42T. ChukwuaniM
- 20R. NaderiF
- 17D. YokotaM
Form going into Aberdeen vs Rangers
Aberdeen
- L0-2away to Dundee8 August 2026
- W2-1Heart of Midlothian1 August 2026
Rangers
- L0-1away to FK Jablonec27 August 2026
- W1-0FK Jablonec20 August 2026
- D1-1Jagiellonia13 August 2026
- L1-2Hibernian9 August 2026
- L1-2away to Jagiellonia6 August 2026
What these results say
- Rangers failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Rangers scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Rangers conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 2 | Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Aberdeen vs Rangers
- 30 August 2026Aberdeen 0–1 RangersPremiership
- 21 March 2026Rangers 4–1 AberdeenPremiership
- 11 January 2026Aberdeen 0–2 RangersPremiership
- 6 January 2026Rangers 2–0 AberdeenPremiership
- 11 May 2025Rangers 4–0 AberdeenPremiership
- 13 April 2025Aberdeen 2–2 RangersPremiership
Leading scorers: Aberdeen and Rangers
Aberdeen
- K. Nisbet3 goals2 assists
Rangers
- L. Shankland3 goals
- R. Naderi2 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.