Shamrock Rovers
vs
Ararat-Armenia
Final score: Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Ararat-Armenia.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Shamrock Rovers, 23% draw, 26% Ararat-Armenia — fair odds of 1.96, 4.35 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Shamrock Rovers 1.90, Ararat-Armenia 1.31.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Match stats: Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia
Goals: M. Healy 11' for Shamrock Rovers, A. Greene 36' for Shamrock Rovers, Sandro Lima 73' for Ararat-Armenia.
Head-to-head: Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia
- 21 July 2026Ararat-Armenia 2–0 Shamrock RoversUEFA Champions League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Shamrock Rovers the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.9 expected goals for Shamrock Rovers against 1.31 for Ararat-Armenia. Shamrock Rovers's attack/defence rating is 0.55/1.95 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.48/1.83 for Ararat-Armenia.