28 July 2026, 19:00 UTC

Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Ararat-Armenia.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Shamrock Rovers, 26% draw, 32% Ararat-Armenia — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Shamrock Rovers at 42% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Healyassist: A. Greene
11'
⚽A. Greeneassist: J. Byrne
36'
50'
Junior Julio
Pico
58'
72'
🔁A. Serobyanout: Franca Carlos
73'
⚽Sandro Lima
🔁J. Mulraneyout: E. Stevens
77'
🔁A. Greeneout: J. Afolabi
77'
81'
Bruno Wilson
82'
Carlos França
84'
🔁M. Carlierout: M. Ayvazyan
84'
🔁Z. Banjaquiout: Z. Shaghoyan
🔁L. Graceout: D. Mandroiu
85'
🔁D. Wattsout: N. Razi
85'
🔁G. Burkeout: M. Noonan
88'
90+4'
🔁Sandro Limaout: A. Ndour
90+4'
🔁H. Oliveiraout: Luis Felipe

Line-ups

Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2
  • 1E. McGintyG
  • 11J. MulraneyM
  • 4R. LopesD
  • 5L. GraceD
  • 22T. SobowaleD
  • 7D. WattsM
  • 8M. HealyM
  • 29J. ByrneM
  • 19A. BrennanM
  • 9A. GreeneF
  • 10G. BurkeF
Substitutes
  • 41A. NoonanG
  • 2A. MatthewsD
  • 3E. StevensD
  • 14D. MandroiuM
  • 17L. O'Regan
  • 18J. AfolabiF
  • 26J. O'Sullivan
  • 27C. O'SullivanD
  • 28N. RaziM
Coach: Stephen Bradley
Ararat-Armenia 3-4-3
  • 98Joao Bravim
  • 3Junior Julio
  • 43B. R. Wilson ValdezD
  • 47A. MalisD
  • 2H. OliveiraD
  • 17M. CarlierM
  • 19K. MuradyanM
  • 16E. GrigoryanD
  • 77A. SerobyanM
  • 91Sandro LimaF
  • 11Z. BanjaquiM
Substitutes
  • 1A. NersesyanG
  • 6M. AyvazyanM
  • 7Z. ShaghoyanM
  • 9A. EloyanF
  • 20A. TeraM
  • 25A. NdourF
  • 90P. AyongoF
  • 5Luis FelipeD
  • 14B. PereiraD
Coach: Tulipa

Form going into Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia

Shamrock Rovers

  • L0-2away to Ararat-Armenia21 July 2026

Ararat-Armenia

  • W2-0Shamrock Rovers21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Shamrock Rovers and Ararat-Armenia in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
2Shamrock RoversPremier Division3016864629+1756

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Ararat-Armenia has not started the league season yet. Full tables: Premier Division · UEFA Europa League

Head-to-head: Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia

  • 28 July 2026Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Champions League
  • 21 July 2026Ararat-Armenia 2–0 Shamrock RoversUEFA Champions League

Leading scorers: Shamrock Rovers and Ararat-Armenia

Shamrock Rovers

  • G. Burke7 goals1 assists
  • M. Noonan6 goals
  • J. McGovern5 goals5 assists

Ararat-Armenia

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.