UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 28 July 2026, 15:00 UTC

KuPS vs Sabah FA

Vare Areena, Kuopio

Full time0 – 2

Final score: KuPS 0-2 Sabah FA.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% KuPS, 24% draw, 38% Sabah FA — fair odds of 2.63, 4.17 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: KuPS 1.67, Sabah FA 1.67.

Both teams to score: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.

Model confidence: Low.

Model insights

66%

Both teams to score

65%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines1-1 10%2-1 8%1-2 8%

Match stats: KuPS vs Sabah FA

Goals: V. Simic 52' for Sabah FA, J. Mickels 70' for Sabah FA.

Head-to-head: KuPS vs Sabah FA

28 July 2026KuPS 0–2 Sabah FAUEFA Champions League
21 July 2026Sabah FA 1–0 KuPSUEFA Champions League

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives KuPS the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.67 expected goals for KuPS against 1.67 for Sabah FA. KuPS's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.83 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.45 for Sabah FA.