28 July 2026, 15:00 UTC

KuPS vs Sabah FA UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Vare Areena, Kuopio
Full time0 – 2

Final score: KuPS 0-2 Sabah FA.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% KuPS, 25% draw, 41% Sabah FA — fair odds of 2.94, 4.00 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sabah FA at 41% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

52'
⚽V. Simicassist: T. Puchacz
🔁V. R. Gascout: P. Parzyszek
58'
🔁B. Armahout: J. Luyeye-Lutumba
58'
60'
U. Rakhmonaliyev
61'
🔁K. Parrisout: X. Severina
P. Pennanen
62'
70'
⚽J. Mickelsassist: X. Severina
S. Touray
72'
🔁T. Jyryout: N. Kujasalo
74'
🔁C. Antwiout: S. Heiskanen
74'
78'
🔁A. Isayevout: R. Fernandes
78'
🔁U. Rakhmonaliyevout: A. Khaybulaev
78'
🔁A. Zedadkaout: T. Mutallimov
🔁A. Puukkoout: S. Savolainen
81'
87'
🔁J. Mickelsout: O. Mbina
B. Magassa
89'

Line-ups

KuPS 4-2-3-1
  • 1Johannes KreidlG
  • 29Akseli PuukkoD
  • 4Kasim AdamsD
  • 28Brahima MagassaD
  • 25Clinton AntwiD
  • 10Valentín GascM
  • 22Saikou TourayM
  • 16Tommi JyryM
  • 8Petteri PennanenM
  • 24Bob Nii ArmahD
  • 11Jaime MorenoF
Substitutes
  • 21Joslyn Luyeye-LutumbaM
  • 20Piotr ParzyszekF
  • 3Saku HeiskanenM
  • 13Niilo KujasaloM
  • 6Saku SavolainenD
  • 12Hemmo RiihimäkiG
  • 37Kasperi SilenG
  • 23Arttu LötjönenD
  • 33Taneli HämäläinenD
Coach: Miika Nuutinen
Sabah FA 4-2-3-1
  • 92Stas PokatilovG
  • 80Akim ZedadkaD
  • 3Steve SolvetD
  • 5Rahman DashdamirovD
  • 27Tymoteusz PuchaczD
  • 13Ivan LepinjicaM
  • 7Umarali RakhmonalievM
  • 11Kaheem ParrisM
  • 10Aleksey IsayevM
  • 21Veljko SimićM
  • 20Joy Lance MickelsF
Substitutes
  • 34Xander SeverinaM
  • 17Tellur MutallimovD
  • 6Abdulakh KhaybulaevM
  • 88Rodrigo FernandesM
  • 99Patrick Orphe M'BinaF
  • 1Amin RamazanovG
  • 94Ravan MirzammadovG
  • 4Aden McCarthyD
  • 33Júnior AlmeidaD
Coach: Valdas Dambrauskas

Form going into KuPS vs Sabah FA

KuPS

  • L0-1away to Sabah FA21 July 2026

Sabah FA

  • W1-0KuPS21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

KuPS and Sabah FA in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
1KuPSVeikkausliiga2212733823+1543
34Sabah FAUEFA Champions League100104-40

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Veikkausliiga · UEFA Champions League

Head-to-head: KuPS vs Sabah FA

  • 28 July 2026KuPS 0–2 Sabah FAUEFA Champions League
  • 21 July 2026Sabah FA 1–0 KuPSUEFA Champions League

Leading scorers: KuPS and Sabah FA

KuPS

  • J. Moreno5 goals
  • B. Armah3 goals
  • P. Pennanen2 goals2 assists

Sabah FA

  • J. Mickels3 goals1 assists
  • V. Simić3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.