23 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Aluminij 1-1 Dinamo Tirana.

Before kick-off the model made it 27% Aluminij, 50% draw, 23% Dinamo Tirana — fair odds of 3.70, 2.00 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Dinamo Tirana v Aluminij, 30 Jul →

Dinamo Tirana went through 4–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts the draw at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

15'
⚽H. Berisha
Dino Šimunić
30'
🔁D. Simunicout: H. Sorensen
46'
Vid Koderman
52'
🔁B. Osujiout: P. Petrisko
61'
Hanus Sørensen
63'
🔁E. Taylorout: A. Bloudek
71'
81'
🔁F. Ruciout: D. Fadairo
⚽M. Vrbanecassist: A. Bloudek
83'
Rok Schaubach
90+3'

Line-ups

Aluminij 3-5-2
  • 31Florijan RaduhaG
  • 6Dino ŠimunićD
  • 5Matija BobenD
  • 4Rok SchaubachD
  • 42Vid KodermanM
  • 13Matic VrbanecM
  • 14Tomislav JagićM
  • 8Eric TaylorM
  • 32Vito TežakD
  • 45Bamba SussoF
  • 40Bede Amarachi OsujiM
Substitutes
  • 80Hanus SørensenD
  • 44Petar PetriškoM
  • 9Adriano BloudekF
  • 1Anej MrežarG
  • 66Lukas TomažičG
  • 3Domen ZajšekD
  • 21Lan DrevenšekD
  • 18Simon RoginaM
  • 23Enej KrambergerM
Coach: Jure Arsic
Dinamo Tirana 3-5-2
  • 77Aldo TeqjaG
  • 2Ysni IsmailiD
  • 22Bruno DitaD
  • 27Naser AlijiD
  • 13Fabjan PerndrecaD
  • 10Lorenco VilaM
  • 28Isi ManellariM
  • 21Klevi QefalijaM
  • 88Flamur RuciM
  • 29Hekuran BerishaF
  • 8Eridon QardakuM
Substitutes
  • 33David FadairoM
  • 1Edmir SaliG
  • 97Tomas KiriG
  • 5Erion HoxhallariD
  • 47LorranD
  • 16Noel BletaM
  • 11Ruben Silva-RichardsF
  • 18Dejvi MetajF
  • 24Florenc FerrukuF
Coach: Ilir Daja

The result against the call

Aluminij and Dinamo Tirana drew 1–1. The model had made a draw its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 0–0. The goals: H. Berisha 15' for Dinamo Tirana, M. Vrbanec 83' for Aluminij.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.