20 September 2026, 01:15 UTC

Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas Primera A prediction & result

Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Once Caldas.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Deportivo Pasto, 30% draw, 33% Once Caldas — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Deportivo Pasto at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Deportivo Pasto98%Draw2%Once Caldas0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

19'
•Mateo Zuleta García
21'
Mateo Zuleta García
25'
Jader Quinones
45'
Michael Barrios
🔁H. Mancillaout: D. Chavez
46'
🔁N. Gilout: P. Preciado
46'
⚽D. Chavezassist: J. Perlaza
49'
57'
Andres Colorado
Mateo Garavito
58'
🔁M. Garavitoout: M. S. Jimenez
64'
🔁M. Pisanoout: Y. Goez
64'
66'
🔁J. Quinonesout: H. Guzman
75'
🔁D. Morenoout: J. A. Zapata Ramirez
75'
🔁M. Barriosout: E. Torres
Yeiler Goez
77'
🔁J. Perlazaout: S. Cordoba
83'
85'
🔁A. Roaout: J. Nieto
Diego Gabriel Chavez
90'

Match stats — Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas

63%Possession37%
18Shots16
5On target5
5Corners4

Line-ups

Deportivo Pasto
  • 12G. BangueraG
  • 33M. GaravitoD
  • 21D. Osede
  • 5N. GilD
  • 3J. RiosD
  • 32M. PisanoM
  • 15H. MancillaM
  • 25F. LeysM
  • 27H. GoyesM
  • 7J. PerlazaF
  • 18J. Micolta PiedahitaF
Substitutes
  • 1E. A. Cabezas QuinonezG
  • 6M. S. JimenezD
  • 2F. TorijanoD
  • 23Y. GoezM
  • 10D. ChavezM
  • 29S. CordobaF
  • 19P. Preciado
  • 35F. MartinezM
  • 26H. ValenciaD
Once Caldas 4-2-3-1
  • 99J. ParraG
  • 22J. D. Cuesta SantosD
  • 16J. CastanoD
  • 30D. LondonoD
  • 3A. CorreaD
  • 23A. ColoradoM
  • 20A. RoaM
  • 7M. BarriosM
  • 42J. QuinonesM
  • 28M. ZuletaM
  • 17D. MorenoF
Substitutes
  • 12J. CamargoG
  • 33J. PatinoD
  • 6D. Marmolejo
  • 5J. NietoM
  • 15J. AlvaradoM
  • 19T. RojasM
  • 14J. A. Zapata RamirezM
  • 29E. TorresF
  • 21H. GuzmanF
Coach: Hernan Herrera

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Deportivo Pasto1843111329-1615
8Once Caldas187652218+427

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas

  • 13 March 2026Once Caldas 4–2 Deportivo PastoPrimera A
  • 9 November 2025Once Caldas 1–0 Deportivo PastoPrimera A
  • 2 October 2025Once Caldas 4–0 Deportivo PastoCopa Colombia
  • 29 August 2025Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Once CaldasCopa Colombia
  • 18 May 2025Deportivo Pasto 2–1 Once CaldasPrimera A

Leading scorers: Deportivo Pasto and Once Caldas

Deportivo Pasto

No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Once Caldas

GoalsAssists

  • D. Moreno171
  • J. Zapata133

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.