20 September 2026, 21:05 UTC

Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota Primera A prediction & result

Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Bucaramanga 2-0 Internacional de Bogota.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Bucaramanga, 27% draw, 21% Internacional de Bogota — fair odds of 1.92, 3.70 and 4.76.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Bucaramanga at 52%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bucaramanga98%Draw2%Internacional de Bogota0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽L. Pons
13'
José García
35'
53'
Facundo Boné
61'
🔁D. S. Victoria Palaciosout: R. Manjarres
61'
🔁J. Caballeroout: R. Julio
64'
Joan Castro
🔁J. Garciaout: M. Rea
74'
🔁F. Charrupiout: L. Flores
74'
🔁F. Hinestrozaout: A. Murrilo
74'
José Ortiz
79'
79'
🔁F. Boneout: D. Duarte
🔁J. Salazarout: K. Londono
81'
Emerson Batalla
90+5'
🔁E. Batallaout: V. Cantillo
90+11'
90+7'
🔁Y. A. Gomez Mosqueraout: Y. Garcia
⚽E. Batallaassist: K. Londono
90'

Match stats — Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota

43%Possession57%
14Shots15
4On target4
2Corners11
0.82xG1.18

Goals against chances

Bucaramanga2 from 0.82 xGmore than the chances were worth
Internacional de Bogota0 from 1.18 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Bucaramanga 5-3-2
  • 25C. FiermarinG
  • 19A. GutierrezD
  • 24J. OrtizD
  • 23C. RomanaD
  • 4J. GarciaD
  • 8F. HinestrozaD
  • 22FabryM
  • 21F. CharrupiM
  • 17E. BatallaM
  • 11J. SalazarF
  • 27L. PonsF
Substitutes
  • 12D. NovoaG
  • 3M. ReaD
  • 18E. LargachaD
  • 30V. CantilloM
  • 28L. FloresM
  • 7K. LondonoM
  • 32N. RamirezM
  • 9B. CaicedoF
  • 5A. MurriloF
Coach: Leonel Alvarez
Internacional de Bogota 5-4-1
  • 1W. FarinezG
  • 23J. CaballeroD
  • 20J. CastroD
  • 2C. VivasD
  • 13M. PerniaD
  • 16Y. A. Gomez MosqueraD
  • 11C. DajomeM
  • 8D. S. Victoria PalaciosM
  • 5L. VasquezM
  • 10F. BoneM
  • 7F. SanguinettiF
Substitutes
  • 33K. CatanoG
  • 6M. Angel Amaya Pena
  • 24R. ManjarresM
  • 14M. SantamariaM
  • 32J. Palomeque
  • 9D. DuarteF
  • 25R. JulioF
  • 19Y. GarciaF
  • 18E. ArboledaF
Coach: Ricardo Valino

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Bucaramanga188823017+1332
13Internacional de Bogota184862225-320

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota

  • 14 March 2026Internacional de Bogota 0–0 BucaramangaPrimera A
  • 9 November 2025Bucaramanga 2–1 Internacional de BogotaPrimera A
  • 17 May 2025Internacional de Bogota 1–4 BucaramangaPrimera A
  • 28 September 2024Internacional de Bogota 0–1 BucaramangaPrimera A
  • 16 March 2024Bucaramanga 4–0 Internacional de BogotaPrimera A

Leading scorers: Bucaramanga and Internacional de Bogota

Bucaramanga

GoalsAssists

  • L. Pons155
  • E. Batalla126

Internacional de Bogota

GoalsAssists

  • F. Sanguinetti107

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.