Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Elche.
Before kick-off the model made it 78% Deportivo La Coruna, 13% draw, 9% Elche — fair odds of 1.28, 7.69 and 11.11.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Deportivo La Coruna at 78%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13L. RomanG
- 23X. NavarroD
- 4L. NoubiD
- 22B. EdeD
- 12G. QuagliataD
- 21M. SorianoM
- 16L. AmatucciM
- 2A. AltimiraM
- 32B. NsongoM
- 18J. AspM
- 7P. AubameyangF
- 1G. ParrenoG
- 25A. FernandezG
- 15M. LoureiroD
- 24AngelinoD
- 3A. ComasD
- 14R. RodriguezM
- 8D. VillaresM
- 34T. GijselhartM
- 9Z. EddahchouriF
- 1M. DituroG
- 2Buba SangareD
- 22D. AffengruberD
- 5F. Redondo SolariD
- 23V. ChustD
- 11G. ValeraD
- 12G. VillarM
- 16M. NetoM
- 8M. AguadoM
- 29A. HouaryM
- 14F. NinoF
- 43A. IturbeG
- 26M. BarzicD
- 6P. BigasD
- 47J. MorcilloM
- 10F. BuonanotteM
- 9E. PonceF
- 17JosanM
- 33M. NordinF
- 20Tete MorenteF
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche
- 1 June 2025Deportivo La Coruna 0–4 ElcheSegunda División
- 13 October 2024Elche 0–0 Deportivo La CorunaSegunda División
- 23 June 2020Elche 0–1 Deportivo La CorunaSegunda División
- 10 November 2019Deportivo La Coruna 1–3 ElcheSegunda División
- 4 June 2019Elche 0–0 Deportivo La CorunaSegunda División
Leading scorers: Deportivo La Coruna and Elche
Deportivo La Coruna
GoalsAssists
- P. Aubameyang52
Elche
GoalsAssists
- Fer Niño60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Deportivo La Coruna and Elche drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Deportivo La Coruna at 78% and given a draw 13%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 8 matches like this one. The goals: P. Aubameyang 21' for Deportivo La Coruna, M. Aguado 76' for Elche. On expected goals it finished 0.34–1.41.