Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia Mendoza Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Defensa Y Justicia 2-0 Gimnasia Mendoza.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Defensa Y Justicia, 29% draw, 32% Gimnasia Mendoza — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Defensa Y Justicia at 39% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia Mendoza
Line-ups
- 1M. BorgognoG
- 28V. LozaD
- 29D. FernándezD
- 21D. MartínezD
- 3F. RománD
- 15S. SosaM
- 8C. PérezM
- 26J. LuccoM
- 19D. BarbonaM
- 24J. GutiérrezM
- 9L. FernándezF
- 27D. BlancoM
- 36L. AmadéG
- 6E. BurdinD
- 30D. DomínguezD
- 17A. HauschF
- 5J. LópezM
- 45T. MartinezM
- 11Tiziano PerrotaF
- 22M. PorcelM
- 23C. RigamontiG
- 32L. ParedesD
- 2D. MondinoD
- 4E. MuñozD
- 3M. RecaldeD
- 21F. AntoniniM
- 15U. SánchezM
- 7L. CingolaniM
- 30E. FernándezM
- 26F. LencioniM
- 17I. SabatiniF
- 5N. BarbozaM
- 42L. CarreraM
- 19J. CeballosM
- 22J. FrancoD
- 16G. GuiffreyD
- 9A. MódicaF
- 20T. OrtizM
- 31L. PetruchiG
- 11S. RodríguezF
Form going into Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia Mendoza
Defensa Y Justicia
- L0-1away to Lanus6 September 2026
- W1-0Platense31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Belgrano Cordoba23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Velez Sarsfield17 August 2026
Gimnasia Mendoza
- D2-2Boca Juniors5 September 2026
- W3-0away to Independiente30 August 2026
- W3-2away to Gimnasia La Plata22 August 2026
- W3-1Talleres Cordoba18 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Defensa Y Justicia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 17 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia Mendoza
- 4 May 2026Gimnasia Mendoza 2–1 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Defensa Y Justicia and Gimnasia Mendoza
Defensa Y Justicia
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Gimnasia Mendoza
- A. Módica12 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.