BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: BK Hacken 1-1 Mjallby AIF.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% BK Hacken, 28% draw, 23% Mjallby AIF — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts BK Hacken at 49% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF
Line-ups
- 1A. LindeG
- 5B. WembangomoD
- 13H. HilveniusD
- 22F. HelanderD
- 21A. LundkvistD
- 19D. SegerM
- 6A. DoumbiaM
- 20A. SvanbäckM
- 10M. RygaardM
- 11Julius LindbergM
- 9G. LindgrenF
- 7M. AggerF
- 35D. AnderssonG
- 14M. HaalandM
- 8S. HestnesM
- 32H. IbrahimM
- 18W. UhrströmM
- 24Bamir SadikuF
- 23O. SamuelssonD
- 27C. WawaF
- 13R. WallinderG
- 25M. NielsenD
- 33T. MiettinenD
- 4A. NorénD
- 5Abdullah IqbalD
- 14Villiam GranathD
- 7V. GustafsonM
- 22J. GustavssonM
- 6M. EnggårdM
- 9A. YoussefF
- 18J. BergströmF
- 3M. AgnarssonD
- 39R. LeanderssonM
- 26I. HoffmannD
- 10J. KjærM
- 29Olle LindbergM
- 35A. LundinG
- 23Á. SamuelsenF
- 2L. SvanbergD
- 27L. TidstrandM
Form going into BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF
BK Hacken
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Gais5 September 2026
- L1-3Vasteras SK FK29 August 2026
- W3-0away to Sirius21 August 2026
- W1-0Halmstad17 August 2026
- L0-3away to Hammarby FF9 August 2026
Mjallby AIF
All competitions we cover
- L1-4IFK Goteborg7 September 2026
- L0-2Djurgardens IF3 September 2026
- L0-4away to Djurgardens IF31 August 2026
- L0-3away to Red Bull Salzburg27 August 2026
- L0-1Red Bull Salzburg20 August 2026
What these results say
- Mjallby AIF did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Mjallby AIF conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Mjallby AIF failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BK Hacken | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 47 | 30 | +17 | 46 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: BK Hacken vs Mjallby AIF
- 17 May 2026Mjallby AIF 0–1 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 27 March 2026BK Hacken 2–2 Mjallby AIFFriendlies Clubs
- 9 November 2025Mjallby AIF 1–0 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 12 April 2025BK Hacken 0–3 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
- 8 March 2025Mjallby AIF 0–1 BK HackenSvenska Cupen
Leading scorers: BK Hacken and Mjallby AIF
BK Hacken
GoalsAssists
- G. Lindgren131
- Julius Lindberg98
- A. Svanbäck78
Mjallby AIF
GoalsAssists
- J. Bergström100
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
BK Hacken and Mjallby AIF drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for BK Hacken at 49% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jacob Bergstrom 17' for Mjallby AIF, Julius Lindberg 56' for BK Hacken.
How the call on BK Hacken v Mjallby AIF has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 44% / 29% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 49% / 28% / 23%: the biggest move is BK Hacken's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- BK Hacken win49%▲ +5
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Mjallby AIF win23%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.