12 September 2026, 00:30 UTC

Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Boca Juniors 3-1 Central Cordoba de Santiago.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Boca Juniors, 28% draw, 25% Central Cordoba de Santiago — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Boca Juniors at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Boca Juniors99%Draw1%Central Cordoba de Santiago0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Ángel Romeroassist: Enner Valencia
5'
⚽Enner Valenciaassist: Dylan Gorosito
11'
Dylan Gorosito
17'
Tomás Belmonte
26'
Marco Pellegrino
39'
43'
Leonardo Sequeira
⚽Ángel Romeroassist: Carlos Palacios
56'
62'
Santiago Moyano
65'
🔁Diego Barreraout: Horacio Tijanovich
65'
🔁Santiago Moyanoout: Martín Francisco Cuitiño
🔁Lautaro Blancoout: Matías Satas
67'
68'
🔁Darío Cáceresout: Leonardo Marchi
🔁Tomás Belmonteout: Santiago Ascacibar
72'
🔁Enner Valenciaout: Milton Giménez
72'
🔁Ángel Romeroout: Rodrigo Alexander Bacidalupe
72'
76'
🔁Leonardo Sequeiraout: Lucas Varaldo
90'
⚽Martín Francisco Cuitiñoassist: Fernando Martinez

Match stats — Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

55%Possession45%
9Shots15
6On target1
2Corners6

Line-ups

Boca Juniors 4-2-3-1
  • 12L. BreyG
  • 24D. GorositoD
  • 4N. FigalD
  • 26Marco PellegrinoD
  • 3L. BlancoD
  • 8T. BelmonteM
  • 15W. AlarcónM
  • 11Á. RomeroM
  • 7C. PalaciosM
  • 22S. VillaM
  • 13E. ValenciaF
Substitutes
  • 30J. GarcíaG
  • 19L. FloresF
  • 2L. Di LolloD
  • 44Rodrigo Alexander BacidalupeF
  • 25S. AscacíbarM
  • 9M. GiménezF
  • 42F. HerreraD
  • 17L. LozanoD
  • 16M. MerentielF
Coach: R. Arruabarrena
Central Cordoba de Santiago 4-4-2
  • 1A. AguerreG
  • 33S. MoyanoD
  • 2A. MacielD
  • 6F. MansillaD
  • 23D. CáceresD
  • 20F. MartínezM
  • 22M. VeraM
  • 18L. GonzálezM
  • 7D. BarreraM
  • 10M. IacobellisF
  • 28L. SequeiraF
Substitutes
  • 55J. CardozoM
  • 17Y. CasermeiroD
  • 5T. CraveroM
  • 47M. CuitinoF
  • 29Joaquin FloresF
  • 3L. MarchiD
  • 19E. NayaF
  • 30F. RodriguezM
  • 11H. TijanovichF
Coach: S. Domínguez

Form going into Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

Boca Juniors

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to Gimnasia Mendoza5 September 2026
  • W1-0Lanus29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Racing Club24 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Platense16 August 2026
  • D1-1Velez Sarsfield8 August 2026

Central Cordoba de Santiago

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Independiente6 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Talleres Cordoba30 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Tigre24 August 2026
  • L0-1Instituto Cordoba16 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Union Santa Fe11 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Boca Juniors147612214+827
14Central Cordoba de Santiago142481123-1210

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

  • 2 May 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–2 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 22 September 2025Boca Juniors 2–2 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 8 March 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–3 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 19 May 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–4 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 14 February 2024Boca Juniors 2–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 19 September 2023Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–3 Boca JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional

The full Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba de Santiago record →

Leading scorers: Boca Juniors and Central Cordoba de Santiago

Boca Juniors

GoalsAssists

  • M. Merentiel92

Central Cordoba de Santiago

GoalsAssists

  • M. Santos92

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Boca Juniors beat Central Cordoba de Santiago 3–1. The model had made a win for Boca Juniors its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ángel Romero 5' for Boca Juniors, Enner Valencia 11' for Boca Juniors, Ángel Romero 56' for Boca Juniors, Martín Francisco Cuitiño 90' for Central Cordoba de Santiago.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.