Debreceni VSC
vs
FC Copenhagen
The model makes it 38% Debreceni VSC, 24% draw, 38% FC Copenhagen — fair odds of 2.63, 4.17 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Debreceni VSC 1.60, FC Copenhagen 1.61.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Debreceni VSC
- L2-4away to Ujpest2 August 2026
- L0-2Puskas Academy26 July 2026
FC Copenhagen
- W3-1away to Silkeborg2 August 2026
- W3-2Lyngby26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Domestic league positions
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Debreceni VSC | NB I | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables
Leading scorers
Debreceni VSC
No league goals recorded yet.
FC Copenhagen
- M. Elyounoussi4 goals
- B. Meling2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Debreceni VSC carry a model rating of 6.49 against 6.64 for FC Copenhagen. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Debreceni VSC L-L; FC Copenhagen W-W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.60 goals for Debreceni VSC and 1.61 for FC Copenhagen. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Debreceni VSC rate 0.73 in attack and 1.51 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Copenhagen rate 0.76 and 1.16.
That points to 62% for over two and a half goals and 64% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 202 correct results out of 432 settled predictions (47%), with 39 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Debreceni VSC the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.6 expected goals for Debreceni VSC against 1.61 for FC Copenhagen. Debreceni VSC's attack/defence rating is 0.73/1.51 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.76/1.16 for FC Copenhagen.