Borac Banja Luka vs ML Vitebsk UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Borac Banja Luka 1-0 ML Vitebsk.
Before kick-off the model made it 83% Borac Banja Luka, 10% draw, 7% ML Vitebsk — fair odds of 1.20, 10.00 and 14.29.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: ML Vitebsk v Borac Banja Luka, 13 Aug →
Borac Banja Luka went through on penalties, after 1–1 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Borac Banja Luka at 83%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Borac Banja Luka vs ML Vitebsk
Line-ups
- 72M. JurkasG
- 19V. RoganD
- 24J. CarolinaD
- 2B. MeijersD
- 16S. HerreraD
- 18M. JojicM
- 98S. OgrinecM
- 89M. DeketF
- 11D. HreljaM
- 7L. JuricicF
- 77S. SavicM
- 1D. SiskovskiG
- 3A. PascualD
- 6S. SanicaninD
- 10D. VukovicM
- 12A. HirosM
- 14P. DjajicF
- 22I. Kukavica
- 23S. VranjesM
- 30N. JaksicD
- 1P. PavlyuchenkoG
- 22Y. SkibskiyM
- 20Z. VolkovD
- 6K. GomanovD
- 5M. MohammadiD
- 27A. MesarovicM
- 15V. BocherovM
- 55V. GromykoM
- 80A. KontsevoyM
- 9B. DiabateF
- 12R. BosicM
- 30P. ShcherbachenyaG
- 46D. KotauG
- 3N. BaranokD
- 7T. IvanovF
- 8S. GnakaM
- 10D. CleoniseM
- 18V. ZhukM
- 23S. BalanovichM
- 45I. MoskalenchikD
Form going into Borac Banja Luka vs ML Vitebsk
Borac Banja Luka
All competitions we cover
- D3-3away to Petrocub30 July 2026
- W3-0Petrocub23 July 2026
ML Vitebsk
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Sutjeska30 July 2026
- W3-0Sutjeska23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Borac Banja Luka and ML Vitebsk in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Borac Banja Luka | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | Premier League | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 61 | 19 | +42 | 62 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Belarus Premier League
The result against the call
Borac Banja Luka beat ML Vitebsk 1–0. The model had made a win for Borac Banja Luka its most likely outcome, at 83%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–1. The goal: S. Savic 14' for Borac Banja Luka. Sent off: Milad Mohammadi (ML Vitebsk) 33'.