FC Copenhagen
vs
Debreceni VSC
The model makes it 54% FC Copenhagen, 24% draw, 22% Debreceni VSC — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: FC Copenhagen 1.89, Debreceni VSC 1.14.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
FC Copenhagen
- W3-1away to Silkeborg2 August 2026
- W3-2Lyngby26 July 2026
Debreceni VSC
- L2-4away to Ujpest2 August 2026
- L0-2Puskas Academy26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Domestic league positions
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 12 | Debreceni VSC | NB I | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables
Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs Debreceni VSC
- 6 August 2026Debreceni VSC 0–3 FC CopenhagenUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers
FC Copenhagen
- M. Elyounoussi4 goals
- B. Meling2 goals
Debreceni VSC
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
FC Copenhagen carry a model rating of 6.66 against 6.56 for Debreceni VSC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): FC Copenhagen W-W; Debreceni VSC L-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.89 goals for FC Copenhagen and 1.14 for Debreceni VSC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Copenhagen rate 0.78 in attack and 1.15 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Debreceni VSC rate 0.71 and 1.28.
That points to 58% for over two and a half goals and 58% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 267 correct results out of 562 settled predictions (48%), with 53 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Copenhagen the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.89 expected goals for FC Copenhagen against 1.14 for Debreceni VSC. FC Copenhagen's attack/defence rating is 0.78/1.15 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.28 for Debreceni VSC.